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Tripoli SC vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tripoli SC host Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley in the Premier League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley have shipped 1.64 goals a game lately, while Tripoli SC have conceded 1.15 and scored 0.91. Past meetings favor Tripoli SC slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 12, 2023, ending 4:0. xG projections (0.92 - 1.06) back Tripoli SC to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Tripoli SC
35%
Draws
19%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tripoli SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley haven't matched Tripoli SC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tripoli SC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Tripoli SC Clean Sheet 20%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tripoli SC Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.91 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Tripoli SC
4:0
Feb 4, 2023 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
3:1
Nov 25, 2022 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
2:2
Apr 30, 2022 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Tripoli SC
2:0
Mar 15, 2022 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tripoli SC 58 / 100
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tripoli SC Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tripoli SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Tripoli SC scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Tripoli SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tripoli SC VS Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tripoli SC

(Home)
05 Jul
Al Ahed
:
Tripoli SC
23 May
Al Ghazieh
0 : 0
Tripoli SC
17 May
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Tripoli SC
09 May
Tadamon
0 : 1
Tripoli SC
05 May
Al Ahli Nabatiya
3 : 1
Tripoli SC
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Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

(Away)
17 Mar
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
1 : 2
Bourj
10 Mar
Al Hikma
2 : 1
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
04 Mar
Salam Zgharta
0 : 0
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
24 Feb
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
2 : 2
Safa
19 Feb
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0 : 0
Tadamon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahed 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Tripoli SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Al Ansar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Hikma 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Nejmeh SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Safa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Al Mabarrah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Al Sahel 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Tadamon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Jwayya SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League (Losers stage)