Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tripoli SC vs Al Ghazieh

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Obuoba Y. D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2023/2024 game between Tripoli SC and Al Ghazieh finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ghazieh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Tripoli SC
28%
Draws
22%
Al Ghazieh
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Tripoli SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tripoli SC come out ahead of Al Ghazieh on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tripoli SC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Tripoli SC Clean Sheet 68%
Al Ghazieh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tripoli SC Al Ghazieh
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 5
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2024 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Tripoli SC
0:0
Apr 13, 2024 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Tripoli SC
0:0
Mar 3, 2024 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Al Ghazieh
0:1
Aug 20, 2023 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Al Ghazieh
1:1
Dec 4, 2022 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Tripoli SC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tripoli SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Al Ghazieh Compare

Top Goalscorer Obuoba Y. D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tripoli SC 59 / 100
Al Ghazieh 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tripoli SC Al Ghazieh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tripoli SC scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Al Ghazieh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

Solid form: Tripoli SC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Al Ghazieh has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Ghazieh
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%