Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tristan Suarez vs Nueva Chicago

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio 20 de Octubre, Tristan Suarez
Tristan Suarez Logo

Tristan Suarez

1 - 0
FT
Nueva Chicago Logo

Nueva Chicago

Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Sub
Vera M. In: Rodriguez T.
Out: Vera M.
42'
Sanchez N.
43'
Jachfe L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tristan Suarez in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tristan Suarez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Tristan Suarez
20%
Draws
22%
Nueva Chicago
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tristan Suarez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Tristan Suarez have won more games recently than Nueva Chicago.
  • Tristan Suarez are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Tristan Suarez Clean Sheet 68%
Nueva Chicago Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tristan Suarez Nueva Chicago
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.07 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.55 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Nueva Chicago
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Tristan Suarez
0:0
Mar 18, 2022 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Nueva Chicago
3:4
May 14, 2014 Primera B
Nueva Chicago vs Tristan Suarez
0:0
Nov 24, 2013 Primera B
Tristan Suarez vs Nueva Chicago
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tristan Suarez Compare

Top Goalscorer Becker D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nueva Chicago Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tristan Suarez 68 / 100
Nueva Chicago 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tristan Suarez Nueva Chicago

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tristan Suarez Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tristan Suarez found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Nueva Chicago conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Tristan Suarez stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tristan Suarez VS Nueva Chicago
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tristan Suarez

(Home)
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
05 Sept
Tristan Suarez
2 : 0
San Martin T.
29 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 1
Tristan Suarez
22 Aug
Tristan Suarez
2 : 0
Agropecuario
Page 1 of 6

Nueva Chicago

(Away)
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0
Quilmes
29 Aug
Midland
2 : 0
Nueva Chicago
26 Aug
San Martin S.J.
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
22 Aug
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Moron 29 16 7 6 47:27 55
2 Ferro 29 16 7 6 34:25 55
3 Godoy Cruz 29 14 7 8 36:25 49
4 Deportivo Madryn 29 12 10 7 42:28 46
5 Almirante Brown 29 12 10 7 23:16 46
6 Colon Santa Fe 29 12 9 8 35:25 45
7 CA Estudiantes 29 10 9 10 26:25 39
8 Ciudad Bolivar 29 9 12 8 24:26 39
9 Los Andes 29 8 13 8 22:17 37
10 Racing Cordoba 29 9 8 12 26:34 35
11 Chaco For Ever 29 8 9 12 26:29 33
12 Defensores de Belgrano 29 7 12 10 22:26 33
13 CA Mitre 29 6 14 9 27:35 32
14 Central Norte 29 6 13 10 19:27 31
15 All Boys 29 6 13 10 16:25 31
16 San Telmo 29 7 10 12 23:33 31
17 San Miguel 29 6 12 11 23:33 30
18 Acassuso 29 5 8 16 19:34 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 29 14 11 4 31:15 53
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 29 15 7 7 44:35 52
3 Temperley 29 13 11 5 33:23 50
4 Atletico Atlanta 29 15 3 11 34:28 48
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 29 12 9 8 31:26 45
6 Midland 29 12 8 9 32:25 44
7 San Martin S.J. 29 11 9 9 31:27 42
8 Deportivo Maipu 29 11 7 11 36:30 40
9 Colegiales 29 11 7 11 29:28 40
10 San Martin T. 29 9 12 8 30:26 39
11 Atl. Rafaela 29 10 9 10 21:24 39
12 Quilmes 29 9 8 12 28:24 35
13 Almagro 29 9 8 12 25:33 35
14 Agropecuario 29 8 9 12 25:34 33
15 Nueva Chicago 29 8 8 13 21:28 32
16 Patronato 29 5 15 9 23:30 30
17 Chacarita Juniors 29 7 6 16 19:31 27
18 Club Atletico Guemes 29 5 8 16 23:49 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)