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Tritium vs Caldiero Terme Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Bitihene B.
65' Event
Zerbato L.

AI Match Summary

Caldiero Terme in this Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caldiero Terme.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Tritium
35%
Draws
49%
Caldiero Terme
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caldiero Terme

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caldiero Terme lately — more wins on the board than Tritium.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Tritium Clean Sheet 11%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tritium Caldiero Terme
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 3 9
Draws 9 12
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.79 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Caldiero Terme
0:2
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Tritium
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tritium Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Caldiero Terme Compare

Top Goalscorer Bitihene B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zerbato L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tritium 35 / 100
Caldiero Terme 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tritium Caldiero Terme

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caldiero Terme Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Caldiero Terme conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Tritium found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (28 games).

Tritium has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tritium VS Caldiero Terme
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tritium

(Home)
27 Sept
Tritium
2 : 2
Rovato Vertovese
20 Sept
Pavonese
3 : 2
Tritium
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1
Villa Valle
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Tritium
06 Sept
Tritium
1 : 2
Piacenza
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Caldiero Terme

(Away)
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Scanzorosciate
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Caldiero Terme
12 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1
AC Leon
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3
Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)