Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tritium vs Ciserano-Bergamo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Perico S.
90' Event
Bertoli M.
(Penalty)
90'
Bertoli M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 game between Tritium and Ciserano-Bergamo finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciserano-Bergamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Tritium
35%
Draws
49%
Ciserano-Bergamo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ciserano-Bergamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ciserano-Bergamo come out ahead of Tritium on wins alone.
  • Ciserano-Bergamo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Tritium Clean Sheet 23%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tritium Ciserano-Bergamo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.77 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Ciserano-Bergamo
0:2
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Tritium
3:0
Jun 2, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:0
Jan 24, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Tritium
3:1
Mar 22, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Ciserano-Bergamo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tritium Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ciserano-Bergamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Perico S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tritium 29 / 100
Ciserano-Bergamo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tritium Ciserano-Bergamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciserano-Bergamo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciserano-Bergamo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Tritium's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tritium stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tritium VS Ciserano-Bergamo
1.17 Goals Scored 1.38
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tritium

(Home)
20 Sept
Pavonese
3 : 2
Tritium
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1
Villa Valle
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Tritium
06 Sept
Tritium
1 : 2
Piacenza
14 Aug
Tritium
2 : 2
Solbiatese
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Ciserano-Bergamo

(Away)
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
03 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Castellanzese
26 Apr
Pavia
3 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)