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Tritium vs Folgore Caratese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

69'
Panatti A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 game between Tritium and Folgore Caratese finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Tritium
35%
Draws
46%
Folgore Caratese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Folgore Caratese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Folgore Caratese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tritium Clean Sheet 19%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tritium Folgore Caratese
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 9 13
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.76 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Folgore Caratese
0:0
Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Tritium
1:1
May 3, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Tritium
0:0
Dec 22, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Folgore Caratese
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tritium 32 / 100
Folgore Caratese 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tritium Folgore Caratese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folgore Caratese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Tritium scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Tritium went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tritium VS Folgore Caratese
1.29 Goals Scored 0.88
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.38
86% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tritium

(Home)
27 Sept
Tritium
2 : 2
Rovato Vertovese
20 Sept
Pavonese
3 : 2
Tritium
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1
Villa Valle
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Tritium
06 Sept
Tritium
1 : 2
Piacenza
Page 1 of 6

Folgore Caratese

(Away)
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0
Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)