Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Piacentini G.
50'
50'
Piacentini G.
(Penalty)
79'
79'
Tosini L.
AI Match Summary
Real Calepina in this Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Calepina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
35%
49%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Calepina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Real Calepina lately — more wins on the board than Tritium.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tritium Clean Sheet 20%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tritium | Real Calepina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 4 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Real Calepina
0:3
Oct 28, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Tritium
1:1
Aug 2, 2023 Club Friendly
Tritium vs Real Calepina
9:0
Apr 10, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Tritium
0:1
Dec 20, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Real Calepina
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tritium Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Real Calepina Compare
Top Goalscorer Piacentini G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tosini L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tritium 32 / 100
Real Calepina 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tritium Real Calepina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Real Calepina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.
Attacking prowess: Tritium scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Tritium stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tritium VS Real Calepina
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Tritium
(Home) 14 Aug
Tritium
2 : 2 Solbiatese
05 May
Tritium
2 : 4 Pro Palazzolo
28 Apr
Club Milano
1 : 1 Tritium
21 Apr
Tritium
0 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
14 Apr
Caravaggio
3 : 2 Tritium
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Tritium
2 : 2 Solbiatese
05 May
Tritium
2 : 4 Pro Palazzolo
21 Apr
Tritium
0 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
07 Apr
Tritium
0 : 1 Arconatese
28 Mar
Tritium
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
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Real Calepina
(Away) 03 May
Real Calepina
1 : 1 Scanzorosciate
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1 Real Calepina
19 Apr
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Real Calepina
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1 Breno
08 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 0 AC Milan U23
Page 1 of 7
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1 Real Calepina
19 Apr
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Real Calepina
02 Apr
Oltrepo
1 : 0 Real Calepina
22 Mar
Caldiero Terme
3 : 1 Real Calepina
01 Mar
Ciserano-Bergamo
0 : 2 Real Calepina
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caldiero Terme | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 55:32 | 77 |
| 2 | Piacenza | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 69:35 | 74 |
| 3 | Pro Palazzolo | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 49:26 | 73 |
| 4 | Desenzano Calvina | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 51:28 | 69 |
| 5 | Varesina | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 73:49 | 68 |
| 6 | Arconatese | 38 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 58:38 | 68 |
| 7 | Brusaporto | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 55:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Clivense | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 38:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 10 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | 51 |
| 11 | USD Casatese | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 53:53 | 51 |
| 12 | Caravaggio | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 44:51 | 46 |
| 13 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 49:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Club Milano | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:44 | 45 |
| 15 | Real Calepina | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38:47 | 44 |
| 16 | Legnano | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34:50 | 42 |
| 17 | Castellanzese | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 36:51 | 39 |
| 18 | Crema | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 25:48 | 36 |
| 19 | Tritium | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 27:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte San Pietro | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31:63 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)
