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Tritones Vallarta vs Ensenada FC

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tritones Vallarta play Ensenada FC in the Liga Premier Serie A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tritones Vallarta averaged 0.88 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Ensenada FC averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.75 conceded. In past meetings, Tritones Vallarta won 3, Ensenada FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 7, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Tritones Vallarta and 0.94 for Ensenada FC. This points to a Tritones Vallarta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tritones Vallarta
6%
Draws
4%
Ensenada FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tritones Vallarta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tritones Vallarta has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ensenada FC.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Tritones Vallarta.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Premier Serie A provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Tritones Vallarta Clean Sheet 20%
Ensenada FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tritones Vallarta Ensenada FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 3 2
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Ensenada FC
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Ensenada FC vs Tritones Vallarta
3:0
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Ensenada FC vs Tritones Vallarta
1:3
Nov 13, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Ensenada FC
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tritones Vallarta Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintero J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ensenada FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tritones Vallarta 85 / 100
Ensenada FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tritones Vallarta Ensenada FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tritones Vallarta scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Ensenada FC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Tritones Vallarta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ensenada FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tritones Vallarta VS Ensenada FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alacranes de Durango26212371:1674
2Tigres de Alica26173646:2556
3Cimarrones de Sonora26157446:1954
4Leones Negros 226162842:2653
5Tecos26144849:3449
6Tritones Vallarta261511032:2746
7Mineros de Fresnillo261141140:4139
8Los Cabos United261131237:4037
9Guerreros de Autlan26851338:4232
10UA Zacatecas26841432:4929
11Ensenada FC26821630:5528
12Reboceros de La Piedad26711839:6623
13Zapotlanejo26611939:7321
14Colima FC26431924:5217
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Apodaca26212347:1966
2FC Santiago26147543:2151
3Zacatepec26128629:1545
4Halcones de Zapopan26116944:2744
5Calor De San Pedro26127737:2644
6Gavilanes de Matamoros26125931:2244
7Lobos ULMX26116933:2840
8Correcaminos 226971027:2536
9Chilpancingo2698933:4135
10Cordobes FC26861229:3030
11Zitacuaro266101022:3128
12CS Canamy26581333:5326
13Ciervos26441820:5018
14Atletico Hidalgo26441822:6216
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing de Veracruz24213055:971
2Deportiva Venados24154561:2552
3Tapachula241301151:3544
4Celaya24124842:3243
5Inter Playa Del Carmen24134735:2842
6Montaneses241221035:2838
7Pioneros241031135:3535
8Jaguares De Chiapas24941133:3234
9Heroes de Zaci241021233:4634
10Chapulineros24581121:3323
11Canoneros FC24711625:4922
12Neza FC24521725:7319
13Dragones Toluca24431721:4717