Sport Picks
Tritones Vallarta vs Tigres de Alica
Mexico
Liga Premier Serie A 
Match Events
45'
45'
Suarez A.
52'
52'
Meza A.
67'
67'
Herrera G.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Premier Serie A game between Tritones Vallarta and Tigres de Alica finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tigres de Alica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tigres de Alica come out ahead of Tritones Vallarta on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Tigres de Alica have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Tritones Vallarta Clean Sheet 22%
Tigres de Alica Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tritones Vallarta | Tigres de Alica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 20 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Tigres de Alica vs Tritones Vallarta
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Tigres de Alica
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tigres de Alica vs Tritones Vallarta
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Tigres de Alica
2:1
Nov 30, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Tigres de Alica
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tritones Vallarta Compare
Top Goalscorer Suarez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Tigres de Alica Compare
Top Goalscorer Meza A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Herrera G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tritones Vallarta 37 / 100
Tigres de Alica 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tritones Vallarta Tigres de Alica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TIG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tritones Vallarta's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Tigres de Alica has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Tritones Vallarta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tritones Vallarta VS Tigres de Alica
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Tritones Vallarta
(Home) 25 Apr
Deportiva Venados
1 : 0 Tritones Vallarta
22 Apr
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1 Deportiva Venados
19 Apr
Tapachula
1 : 1 Tritones Vallarta
15 Apr
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 0 Tapachula
11 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 0 Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 7
22 Apr
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1 Deportiva Venados
15 Apr
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 0 Tapachula
28 Mar
Tritones Vallarta
2 : 0 Los Cabos United
07 Mar
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 0 Tecos
21 Feb
Tritones Vallarta
2 : 0 Mineros de Fresnillo
Page 1 of 3
Tigres de Alica
(Away) 19 Apr
Tigres de Alica
2 : 1 Halcones de Zapopan
15 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
2 : 0 Tigres de Alica
12 Apr
Los Cabos United
0 : 2 Tigres de Alica
29 Mar
Tigres de Alica
3 : 2 UA Zacatecas
22 Mar
Tigres de Alica
1 : 0 Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 6
15 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
2 : 0 Tigres de Alica
12 Apr
Los Cabos United
0 : 2 Tigres de Alica
13 Mar
Tecos
1 : 1 Tigres de Alica
28 Feb
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 1 Tigres de Alica
15 Feb
Ensenada FC
1 : 2 Tigres de Alica
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 71:16 | 74 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 46:25 | 56 |
| 3 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 54 |
| 4 | Leones Negros 2 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42:26 | 53 |
| 5 | Tecos | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 49:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Tritones Vallarta | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 32:27 | 46 |
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:41 | 39 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 37:40 | 37 |
| 9 | Guerreros de Autlan | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | 32 |
| 10 | UA Zacatecas | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 32:49 | 29 |
| 11 | Ensenada FC | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 30:55 | 28 |
| 12 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 39:66 | 23 |
| 13 | Zapotlanejo | 26 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 39:73 | 21 |
| 14 | Colima FC | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 24:52 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47:19 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:21 | 51 |
| 3 | Zacatepec | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 29:15 | 45 |
| 4 | Halcones de Zapopan | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:27 | 44 |
| 5 | Calor De San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:26 | 44 |
| 6 | Gavilanes de Matamoros | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 31:22 | 44 |
| 7 | Lobos ULMX | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:28 | 40 |
| 8 | Correcaminos 2 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 9 | Chilpancingo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:41 | 35 |
| 10 | Cordobes FC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Zitacuaro | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:31 | 28 |
| 12 | CS Canamy | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 33:53 | 26 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20:50 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico Hidalgo | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 22:62 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 55:9 | 71 |
| 2 | Deportiva Venados | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61:25 | 52 |
| 3 | Tapachula | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 51:35 | 44 |
| 4 | Celaya | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 43 |
| 5 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 35:28 | 42 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 35:28 | 38 |
| 7 | Pioneros | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 8 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 34 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33:46 | 34 |
| 10 | Chapulineros | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 21:33 | 23 |
| 11 | Canoneros FC | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25:49 | 22 |
| 12 | Neza FC | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 25:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Dragones Toluca | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21:47 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)
