Sport Picks
Trival Valderas vs CD Mostoles
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 
Match Events
79'
79'
Peredo S.
AI Match Summary
Trival Valderas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trival Valderas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Mostoles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Trival Valderas have won more games recently than CD Mostoles.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 23%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trival Valderas | CD Mostoles |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.02 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs CD Mostoles
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Trival Valderas
3:1
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Trival Valderas
3:1
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs CD Mostoles
2:1
Feb 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Trival Valderas
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Trival Valderas Compare
Top Goalscorer Peredo S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
CD Mostoles Compare
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Trival Valderas 37 / 100
CD Mostoles 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Trival Valderas CD Mostoles
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Mostoles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Trival Valderas scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: CD Mostoles conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Trival Valderas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Trival Valderas VS CD Mostoles
1.63 Goals Scored 1.29
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Trival Valderas
(Home) 20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0 Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0 Trival Valderas
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0 La Nucia
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 Siello
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0 La Nucia
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
24 May
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Leganes B
Page 1 of 3
CD Mostoles
(Away) 20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0 Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3 CD Mostoles
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0 Burgos CF B
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3 CD Mostoles
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
25 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
2 : 0 CD Mostoles
12 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 0 CD Mostoles
29 Mar
Parla
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
