Sport Picks
Trival Valderas vs Ciudad de Madrid
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 
Match Events
1'
1'
Keita A.
12'
12'
Pascual D.
24'
24'
Peredo S.
AI Match Summary
Trival Valderas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trival Valderas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trival Valderas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Trival Valderas lately — more wins on the board than Ciudad de Madrid.
- Win probability leans Trival Valderas's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 68%
Ciudad de Madrid Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trival Valderas | Ciudad de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.84 | 2.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.65 | 0.52 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Ciudad de Madrid
4:2
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Ciudad de Madrid vs Trival Valderas
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Trival Valderas Compare
Top Goalscorer Pascual D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Peredo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.04
Avg xA / game 1.32
Ciudad de Madrid Compare
Top Goalscorer Keita A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ponce D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.47
Avg xA / game 0.29
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Trival Valderas 95 / 100
Ciudad de Madrid 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Trival Valderas Ciudad de Madrid
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Trival Valderas scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
Ciudad de Madrid's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Ciudad de Madrid registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Trival Valderas VS Ciudad de Madrid
1.5 Goals Scored 0.4
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.8
63% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 80%
Recent Form & Match History
Trival Valderas
(Home) 13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0 Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0 Trival Valderas
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0 La Nucia
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 Siello
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0 La Nucia
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
24 May
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Leganes B
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2 Alcorcon B
Page 1 of 4
Ciudad de Madrid
(Away) 10 May
Union Adarve
5 : 0 Ciudad de Madrid
03 May
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 4 Villaverde San Andres
25 Apr
Atl. Madrid C
5 : 1 Ciudad de Madrid
19 Apr
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 1 Siello
12 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
4 : 1 Ciudad de Madrid
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Union Adarve
5 : 0 Ciudad de Madrid
25 Apr
Atl. Madrid C
5 : 1 Ciudad de Madrid
12 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
4 : 1 Ciudad de Madrid
29 Mar
Trival Valderas
4 : 2 Ciudad de Madrid
15 Mar
Parla
0 : 2 Ciudad de Madrid
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
