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Trival Valderas vs Navalcarnero

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Perera I.
43' Event
Moraga M.
(Penalty)
80' Event
Merchan G.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Trival Valderas and Navalcarnero finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Navalcarnero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Trival Valderas
35%
Draws
42%
Navalcarnero
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Navalcarnero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Navalcarnero haven't matched Trival Valderas's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 23%
Navalcarnero Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trival Valderas Navalcarnero
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2025 Club Friendly
Trival Valderas vs Navalcarnero
1:2
Jan 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Navalcarnero
1:0
Sep 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Navalcarnero vs Trival Valderas
2:0
Apr 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Navalcarnero vs Trival Valderas
2:2
Dec 13, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Navalcarnero
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trival Valderas Compare

Top Goalscorer Merchan G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Navalcarnero Compare

Top Goalscorer Perera I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trival Valderas 37 / 100
Navalcarnero 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trival Valderas Navalcarnero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Navalcarnero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trival Valderas scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Navalcarnero's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Trival Valderas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trival Valderas VS Navalcarnero
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Trival Valderas

(Home)
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0
La Nucia
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
31 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 1
Trival Valderas
24 May
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Leganes B
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Navalcarnero

(Away)
08 Aug
Alcorcon
1 : 1
Navalcarnero
05 Aug
Toledo
1 : 3
Navalcarnero
03 May
Navalcarnero
3 : 1
CF Fuenlabrada
26 Apr
Colonia Moscardo
0 : 0
Navalcarnero
19 Apr
Navalcarnero
2 : 0
Conquense
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