Sport Picks
Trival Valderas vs Pozuelo de Alarcon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 
Match Events
42'
42'
Fuentes H.
63'
63'
Raul D. O.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Trival Valderas and Pozuelo de Alarcon finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trival Valderas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Trival Valderas come out ahead of Pozuelo de Alarcon on wins alone.
- Trival Valderas are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 68%
Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trival Valderas | Pozuelo de Alarcon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 2 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
1:1
Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Trival Valderas
1:0
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
1:1
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Trival Valderas
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Trival Valderas Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Pozuelo de Alarcon Compare
Top Goalscorer Fuentes H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Trival Valderas 68 / 100
Pozuelo de Alarcon 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Trival Valderas Pozuelo de Alarcon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Trival Valderas's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Trival Valderas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Pozuelo de Alarcon let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Trival Valderas VS Pozuelo de Alarcon
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Trival Valderas
(Home) 04 Oct
Trival Valderas
2 : 1 CD Las Rozas
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2 Trival Valderas
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0 Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 Siello
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Trival Valderas
2 : 1 CD Las Rozas
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 Siello
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0 La Nucia
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 3
Pozuelo de Alarcon
(Away) 04 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
27 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2 San Sebastian Reyes B
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
12 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
1 : 1 RC Alcobendas
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
29 Aug
Illescas
0 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
22 Aug
Real Avila
4 : 0 Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colonia Moscardo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Cala Pozuelo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 3 | Trival Valderas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 4 | CD Mostoles | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 11 |
| 5 | CD Las Rozas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 6 | Galapagar | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 7 | RC Alcobendas | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:11 | 8 |
| 8 | CF Fuenlabrada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 9 | Leganes B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 10 | AD Torrejon | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Union Adarve | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 13 | CP Parla Escuela | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 14 | Mexico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Aranjuez | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 5 |
| 16 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Siello | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano B | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)
