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Trival Valderas vs Tres Cantos

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Sacristan Belinchon M. A.
39' Event
Hernandez I.
52' Event
Navarro Del Pozo I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Trival Valderas and Tres Cantos finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trival Valderas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Trival Valderas
20%
Draws
22%
Tres Cantos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trival Valderas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Tres Cantos haven't matched Trival Valderas's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Trival Valderas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 68%
Tres Cantos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trival Valderas Tres Cantos
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Tres Cantos
3:1
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs Trival Valderas
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs Trival Valderas
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Tres Cantos
1:0
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Tres Cantos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trival Valderas Compare

Top Goalscorer Sacristan Belinchon M. A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Navarro Del Pozo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Tres Cantos Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trival Valderas 95 / 100
Tres Cantos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trival Valderas Tres Cantos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trival Valderas found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Tres Cantos let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Trival Valderas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trival Valderas VS Tres Cantos
1.75 Goals Scored 1.83
0.63 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Trival Valderas

(Home)
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0
La Nucia
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
31 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 1
Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 7

Tres Cantos

(Away)
10 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
03 May
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
Leganes B
26 Apr
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
19 Apr
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
AD Torrejon
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)