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Trnje vs Bistra

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Trnje Logo

Trnje

2 - 2
FT
Bistra Logo

Bistra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Trnje and Bistra finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Trnje
20%
Draws
33%
Bistra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trnje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Trnje carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Trnje a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Trnje Clean Sheet 19%
Bistra Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trnje Bistra
Matches Played 45 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 13 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.78 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2022 3. HNL Center
Trnje vs Bistra
2:2
Oct 24, 2021 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Trnje
1:1
Mar 21, 2021 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Trnje
0:2
Aug 23, 2020 3. HNL Center
Trnje vs Bistra
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trnje 85 / 100
Bistra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trnje Bistra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trnje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bistra has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Trnje scored in 78% of their last 45 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Trnje has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Trnje VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trnje

(Home)
19 Sept
Trnje
0 : 1
Dragovoljac
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Trnje
1 : 0
NK Koprivnica
28 Aug
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Trnje
22 Aug
Trnje
3 : 0
NK Inker Zapresic
Page 1 of 9

Bistra

(Away)
19 Oct
Bistra
1 : 6
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Bistra
2 : 1
Vodice
28 May
Bistra
3 : 1
Mladost Petrinja
21 May
Lucko
4 : 2
Bistra
18 May
Bistra
2 : 2
Lukavec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)