Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trnje vs Lukavec

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Trnje Logo

Trnje

3 - 1
FT
Lukavec Logo

Lukavec

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Trnje and Lukavec finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trnje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Trnje
35%
Draws
10%
Lukavec
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trnje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Trnje carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Trnje's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Trnje Clean Sheet 19%
Lukavec Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trnje Lukavec
Matches Played 46 30
Wins 21 7
Draws 12 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.76 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2022 3. HNL Center
Lukavec vs Trnje
0:3
Nov 21, 2021 3. HNL Center
Trnje vs Lukavec
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trnje 85 / 100
Lukavec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trnje Lukavec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trnje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lukavec conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Trnje remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Trnje scored in 78% of their last 46 outings.

Scoring Trends

Trnje VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trnje

(Home)
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Trnje
1 : 0
NK Koprivnica
28 Aug
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Trnje
22 Aug
Trnje
3 : 0
NK Inker Zapresic
14 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 2
Trnje
Page 1 of 10

Lukavec

(Away)
12 Feb
Belisce
2 : 1
Lukavec
28 May
HASK
3 : 0
Lukavec
21 May
Lukavec
0 : 3
Trnje
18 May
Bistra
2 : 2
Lukavec
14 May
Lukavec
1 : 1
Vrapce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)