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Trnje vs Medjimurje

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Kesse P.
43' Event
Ceraj D.
(Penalty)
44'
Arambasic D.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2022/2023 game between Trnje and Medjimurje finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trnje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Trnje
20%
Draws
22%
Medjimurje
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trnje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trnje come out ahead of Medjimurje on wins alone.
  • Trnje are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Druga NL 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Trnje Clean Sheet 19%
Medjimurje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trnje Medjimurje
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 10 2
Losses 16 24
Goals Scored 1.63 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 Druga NL
Trnje vs Medjimurje
3:0
Sep 3, 2022 Druga NL
Medjimurje vs Trnje
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trnje Compare

Top Goalscorer Kesse P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Medjimurje Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trnje 85 / 100
Medjimurje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trnje Medjimurje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trnje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Medjimurje has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.

Trnje found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (41 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Trnje stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trnje VS Medjimurje
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trnje

(Home)
14 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 2
Trnje
25 Jul
Mladost Zdralovi
2 : 2
Trnje
30 May
Trnje
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
23 May
Grobnican
1 : 5
Trnje
16 May
Trnje
1 : 0
Kustosija
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Medjimurje

(Away)
11 Feb
Medjimurje
1 : 2
Mladost Zdralovi
08 Feb
Radnik Krizevci
5 : 0
Medjimurje
03 Jun
Medjimurje
4 : 3
Belisce
26 May
Opatija
5 : 3
Medjimurje
20 May
Medjimurje
0 : 1
Marsonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sesvete 30 19 8 3 64:24 65
2 Zrinski Osjecko 30 19 6 5 45:22 63
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 17 9 4 54:23 60
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 14 8 8 48:26 50
5 Bjelovar 30 12 10 8 46:31 46
6 Dugo Selo 30 12 9 9 50:43 45
7 Opatija 30 12 9 9 48:42 45
8 Hrvace 30 10 8 12 48:49 38
9 Belisce 30 10 7 13 39:47 37
10 Jadran Porec 30 9 9 12 51:61 36
11 Marsonia 30 11 3 16 40:52 36
12 Grobnican 30 10 5 15 42:44 35
13 Trnje 30 9 7 14 43:55 34
14 Zagorec Krapina 30 9 7 14 36:53 34
15 Osijek 2 30 7 4 19 32:64 25
16 Medjimurje 30 4 3 23 22:72 15
Promotion - Prva NL 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2022/2023 (Relegation)