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Trnje vs Mladost Zdralovi

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trnje play Mladost Zdralovi in the Druga NL 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Trnje averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. Mladost Zdralovi averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Trnje won 1, Mladost Zdralovi won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Trnje and 1.50 for Mladost Zdralovi. This points to a Mladost Zdralovi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Trnje
18%
Draws
54%
Mladost Zdralovi
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Mladost Zdralovi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Trnje picked up more points recently compared to Mladost Zdralovi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Trnje Clean Sheet 16%
Mladost Zdralovi Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trnje Mladost Zdralovi
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 9 18
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.32 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Druga NL
Trnje vs Mladost Zdralovi
3:0
Sep 5, 2025 Druga NL
Mladost Zdralovi vs Trnje
2:0
Mar 1, 2025 Druga NL
Trnje vs Mladost Zdralovi
1:2
Aug 30, 2024 Druga NL
Mladost Zdralovi vs Trnje
3:1
May 4, 2024 Druga NL
Trnje vs Mladost Zdralovi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trnje Compare

Top Goalscorer Gataric N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vajdovcic F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Mladost Zdralovi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trnje 28 / 100
Mladost Zdralovi 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trnje Mladost Zdralovi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mladost Zdralovi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Mladost Zdralovi & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Trnje attacking → ← attacking Mladost Zdralovi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trnje scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Mladost Zdralovi let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Trnje went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mladost Zdralovi lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 63
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Segesta30212758:3365
2Kustosija30178555:2359
3Jadran Luka Ploce30185756:2959
4Mladost Zdralovi30178548:3259
5Uljanik Pula301641053:4452
6Uskok Klis301451148:3647
7Radnik Krizevci30138939:2847
8Solin30129946:4345
9Trnje30871537:4831
10Grobnican307101346:6031
11Varteks Varazdin (2011)30871534:4831
12Bjelovar30781532:4629
13Lucko30851732:4629
14Dugo Selo30781522:4329
15Dragovoljac306101428:4928
16Croatia Dakovo30741930:5625