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Trnje vs Zapresic Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL
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Match Events

41' Event
Gataric N.
67' Event
Gataric N.
73' Event
Rodrigues W.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL game between Trnje and Zapresic finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trnje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Trnje
30%
Draws
29%
Zapresic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trnje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trnje come out ahead of Zapresic on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Trnje's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Druga NL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Trnje here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Trnje Clean Sheet 20%
Zapresic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trnje Zapresic
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.53 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Druga NL
Trnje vs Zapresic
3:0
Apr 20, 2002 Prva NL
Zapresic vs Trnje
4:3
Oct 28, 2001 Prva NL
Trnje vs Zapresic
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trnje Compare

Top Goalscorer Gataric N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rodrigues W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Zapresic Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trnje 40 / 100
Zapresic 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trnje Zapresic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trnje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Trnje's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Zapresic has conceded goals in 78% of their last 18 outings.

Trnje went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trnje VS Zapresic
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trnje

(Home)
03 Oct
Trnje
2 : 0
Uljanik Pula
26 Sept
Solin
3 : 1
Trnje
19 Sept
Trnje
0 : 1
Dragovoljac
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Trnje
1 : 0
NK Koprivnica
Page 1 of 6

Zapresic

(Away)
03 Oct
Zapresic
0 : 0
Bjelovar
26 Sept
Dugo Selo
3 : 0
Zapresic
19 Sept
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
0 : 2
Zapresic
12 Sept
Zapresic
2 : 3
Uskok Klis
05 Sept
Grobnican
2 : 2
Zapresic
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bjelovar 7 4 2 1 16:9 14
2 Trnje 7 4 1 2 12:7 13
3 Dugo Selo 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
4 Uskok Klis 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
5 Solin 7 3 2 2 11:9 11
6 Uljanik Pula 7 3 2 2 14:15 11
7 Jarun 6 2 4 0 14:10 10
8 Dragovoljac 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
9 Radnik Krizevci 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
10 Zagora 7 2 3 2 17:16 9
11 Slavonija Pozega 7 2 2 3 13:13 8
12 Zapresic 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
13 Grobnican 7 2 1 4 9:17 7
14 Lucko 7 1 2 4 7:10 5
15 NK Koprivnica 7 1 2 4 9:17 5
16 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
Promotion - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)