Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2020/2021

Trofense

4 - 2

Agueda

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Elias

(Penalty)

63'

Keffel

64'

Fonseca Bernardo

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with Trofense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Trofense

20%

Draws

16%

Agueda

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trofense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Agueda haven't matched Trofense's recent run of results.
64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Trofense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Trofense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 25%

Over 2.5 Goals 18%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Trofense Clean Sheet 68%

Agueda Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Trofense	Agueda
Matches Played	36	24
Wins	8	4
Draws	12	5
Losses	16	15
Goals Scored	0.86	0.79
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.92	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2020 Taça de Portugal

Trofense vs Agueda

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trofense Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Keffel

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.71

Avg xA / game 0.46

Agueda Compare

Top Goalscorer Fonseca Bernardo

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trofense 41 / 100

Agueda 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Trofense Agueda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trofense Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Agueda conceded in 79% of 24 recent games.

Agueda's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Trofense found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (36 games).

Scoring Trends

Trofense VS -

0.63 Goals Scored 0

1.13 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trofense

(Home)

05 Sept

Vitoria Guimaraes B

0 : 0

Trofense

29 Aug

Varzim

5 : 1

Trofense

22 Aug

Trofense

1 : 0

Sao Joao de Ver

15 Aug

SC Vianense

2 : 0

Trofense

09 Aug

Trofense

0 : 1

Varzim

Page 1 of 8

Agueda

(Away)

01 Oct

Agueda

0 : 1

Pevidem

10 Apr

Sanjoanense

1 : 0

Agueda

03 Apr

Agueda

0 : 1

Sao Joao de Ver

21 Mar

Agueda

0 : 2

Castro Daire

12 Mar

Agueda

0 : 0

Canelas 2010

Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Berco 1

Vilaverdense FC 2

SC Lourinhanense 0

Santarem 3

U. Madeira 0

Tirsense 5

TBD -

Montijo -

Trofense 1

Vila Mea 0

TBD -

Agueda -

TBD -

Braga -

UC Idanhense -

TBD -

Torreense 3

Uniao Almeirim 0

Alverca 3

Guadalupe 0

Porto da Cruz 1

Camacha 4

Uniao Montemor -

TBD -

Feirense -

Amora -

TBD -

Ferreiras 3

Louletano 2

Sao Joao de Ver 1

Lusitania FC 0

Portalegrense 0

Marinhense 11

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 2

Alqueidao 1

TBD -

Cova De Piedade -

Sporting Ideal 4

Vale Formoso 0

TBD -

Merelinense -

TBD -

Moreirense -

Africanos Braganca -

TBD -

Arouca -

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Moura AC 2

Culatrense 0

Beira Mar 1

Oliveira Hospital 0

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Fazendense 0

1º Dezembro 2

FC Crato 0

Leiria 4

TBD -

Portimonense -

Fatima 0

Oleiros 3

Aguia Vimioso 1

SC Mirandela 2

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Maria de Fonte 1

CDC Montalegre 2

Aguiar da Beira 1

Vila Cortez 4

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1

Juv. Evora 2

TBD -

Academica -

Rebordelo -

TBD -

Varzim -

SC Vila Real 1

Mondinense 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

TBD -

Nacional -

UD Ovarense -

TBD -

Oriental Dragon 3

Fayal 0

Santa Marta Penaguiao 2

Cinfaes 0

TBD -

Leixoes -

Alcains 2

Vitoria Sernache 3

Fabril do Barreiro 2

CD Rabo Peixe 0

TBD -

FC Porto -

FC Felgueiras 3

Aves 0

Coimbroes 1

Valadares Gaia FC 2

TBD -

Tondela -

Esperanca de Lagos -

TBD -

Penafiel -

TBD -

Maritimo -

Pedras Rubras 2

Amarante FC 1

TBD -

SC Salgueiros -

Caldas SC -

TBD -

Covilha -

Anca 3

Tocha 1

Sacavenense 2

Sintrense 0

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Sesimbra -

TBD -

Oliveirense -

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

Desportivo Moncao -

TBD -

FC Barreirense 3

FC Madalena 0

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Cerveira 2

Brito 0

TBD -

Oriental -

TBD -

Famalicao -

Sertanense 1

SB Castelo Branco 0

TBD -

Estoril -

Olhanense 0

Lusitano GC 2

TBD -

Mortagua FC -

Camara de Lobos 2

Leca 1

TBD -

Vizela -

TBD -

Boavista -

Lusitano GC 0

Moncarapachense 1

Anadia 2

Condeixa 0

Calvao 0

Carapinheirense 1

Pinhalnovense 2

Atletico CP 0

Sao Roque 0

Estrela da Amadora 3

Lusitano FCV 1

Aguias do Moradal 0

TBD -

SC Farense -

Sao Martinho 2

Pevidem 0

Paredes 1

Castro Daire 0

TBD -

Benfica -

Vidago -

TBD -

Vilafranquense -

Ferreira de Aves 0

Sanjoanense 1

Canelas 2010 2

FC Foz 0

GD Braganca 0

AD Limianos 1

Aljustrelense 1

Praia Milfontes 0

GD Fontinhas -

TBD -

Mafra -

Pero Pinheiro 1

SC Praiense 0

Cacadores Taipas 0

AD Fafe 3

FC Amares 0

SC Vianense 1

TBD -

Vilar de Perdizes -

Tomar 2

AD Portomosense 3

Real SC 3

SC Lusitania 0

TBD -

BSAD -

SC Espinho -

TBD -

Chaves -

Ericeirense 0

GS Loures 3

Gondomar 7

Meda 0

1/64-finals

Vilaverdense FC 2

Santarem 1

Tirsense 2

Montijo 3

Trofense 4

Agueda 2

TBD -

Braga -

UC Idanhense 0

Torreense 8

Alverca 2

Camacha 1

Uniao Montemor 0

Feirense 2

Amora 1

Ferreiras 0

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Marinhense 1

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 1

Cova De Piedade 4

Sporting Ideal 0

Merelinense 1

TBD -

Moreirense -

Africanos Braganca 0

Arouca 5

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Moura AC 0

Beira Mar 2

TBD -

Santa Clara -

1º Dezembro 1

Leiria 2

TBD -

Portimonense -

Oleiros 3

SC Mirandela 2

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

CDC Montalegre 3

Vila Cortez 1

Vitoria Setubal 0

Academico Viseu 1

Juv. Evora 1

Academica 3

Rebordelo 1

Varzim 3

SC Vila Real 2

Casa Pia 3

TBD -

Nacional -

UD Ovarense 1

Oriental Dragon 2

Santa Marta Penaguiao 1

Leixoes 5

Vitoria Sernache 0

Fabril do Barreiro 2

TBD -

FC Porto -

FC Felgueiras 2

Valadares Gaia FC 1

TBD -

Tondela -

Esperanca de Lagos 1

Penafiel 3

TBD -

Maritimo -

Pedras Rubras 2

SC Salgueiros 3

Caldas SC 1

Covilha 2

Anca 2

Sacavenense 3

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Sesimbra 1

Oliveirense 4

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

Desportivo Moncao 2

FC Barreirense 0

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Cerveira 0

Oriental 2

TBD -

Famalicao -

Sertanense 0

Estoril 4

Lusitano GC 2

Mortagua FC 1

Camara de Lobos 0

Vizela 2

TBD -

Boavista -

Moncarapachense 1

Anadia 2

Carapinheirense 0

Pinhalnovense 2

Estrela da Amadora 2

Lusitano FCV 0

TBD -

SC Farense -

Sao Martinho 1

Paredes 2

TBD -

Benfica -

Vidago 1

Vilafranquense 5

Sanjoanense 1

Canelas 2010 0

AD Limianos 2

Aljustrelense 1

GD Fontinhas 1

Mafra 0

Pero Pinheiro 0

AD Fafe 1

SC Vianense 0

Vilar de Perdizes 1

AD Portomosense 0

Real SC 3

TBD -

BSAD -

SC Espinho 1

Chaves 0

GS Loures 0

Gondomar 2

1/32-finals

Vilaverdense FC 2

Montijo 3

Trofense 1

Braga 2

Torreense 2

Alverca 0

Feirense 0

Amora 1

Marinhense 1

Cova De Piedade 2

Merelinense 0

Moreirense 1

Arouca 0

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

Beira Mar 1

Santa Clara 3

Leiria 1

Portimonense 0

Oleiros 0

Gil Vicente 1

CDC Montalegre 2

Academico Viseu 3

Academica 1

Varzim 0

Casa Pia 2

Nacional 3

Oriental Dragon 0

Leixoes 1

Fabril do Barreiro 0

FC Porto 2

FC Felgueiras 0

Tondela 1

Penafiel 2

Maritimo 3

SC Salgueiros 2

Covilha 1

Sacavenense 1

Sporting CP 7

Oliveirense 0

Pacos Ferreira 4

Desportivo Moncao 1

Rio Ave 2

Oriental 0

Famalicao 3

Estoril 5

Lusitano GC 0

Vizela 0

Boavista 1

Anadia 2

Pinhalnovense 1

Estrela da Amadora 2

SC Farense 0

Paredes 0

Benfica 1

Vilafranquense 2

Sanjoanense 1

AD Limianos 1

GD Fontinhas 2

AD Fafe 5

Vilar de Perdizes 1

Real SC 0

BSAD 2

SC Espinho 2

Gondomar 1

1/16-finals

Montijo 0

Braga 7

Torreense 1

Amora 0

Cova De Piedade 2

Moreirense 3

Vitoria Guimaraes 0

Santa Clara 1

Leiria 0

Gil Vicente 3

Academico Viseu 3

Academica 0

Nacional 3

Leixoes 1

FC Porto 2

Tondela 1

Maritimo 2

SC Salgueiros 1

Sporting CP 3

Pacos Ferreira 0

Rio Ave 2

Famalicao 1

Estoril 2

Boavista 1

Anadia 0

Estrela da Amadora 1

Benfica 5

Vilafranquense 0

GD Fontinhas 1

AD Fafe 2

BSAD 3

SC Espinho 0

1/8-finals

Braga 5

Torreense 0

Moreirense 1

Santa Clara 2

Gil Vicente 3

Academico Viseu 2

Nacional 2

FC Porto 4

Maritimo 2

Sporting CP 0

Rio Ave 1

Estoril 2

Estrela da Amadora 0

Benfica 4

AD Fafe 2

BSAD 3

Quarter-finals

Braga 2

Santa Clara 1

Gil Vicente 0

FC Porto 2

Maritimo 1

Estoril 3

Benfica 3

BSAD 0

Semi-finals

Braga 4

FC Porto 3

Estoril 1

Benfica 5

Final

Braga 2

Benfica 0

Trofense vs Agueda

Portugal

Trofense

Agueda

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Trofense Compare

Agueda Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Trofense

Agueda

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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