Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trofense vs CF Os Belenenses Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense, Trofa
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Feliz
24' Event
Afonso A.
Assist: Cabral D.
46'
Sub
Cabral D. In: Sambu M.
Out: Cabral D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Trofense and CF Os Belenenses finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Os Belenenses.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Trofense
15%
Draws
67%
CF Os Belenenses
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CF Os Belenenses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CF Os Belenenses come out ahead of Trofense on wins alone.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on CF Os Belenenses taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and CF Os Belenenses have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Trofense Clean Sheet 14%
CF Os Belenenses Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trofense CF Os Belenenses
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.67 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Liga 3
Trofense vs CF Os Belenenses
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Liga 3
CF Os Belenenses vs Trofense
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Taça de Portugal
CF Os Belenenses vs Trofense
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trofense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

CF Os Belenenses Compare

Top Goalscorer Afonso A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trofense 10 / 100
CF Os Belenenses 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trofense CF Os Belenenses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Os Belenenses Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Os Belenenses's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Trofense scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Trofense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Trofense VS CF Os Belenenses
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Trofense

(Home)
12 Sept
Trofense
1 : 4
Leca
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 0
Trofense
29 Aug
Varzim
5 : 1
Trofense
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
15 Aug
SC Vianense
2 : 0
Trofense
Page 1 of 6

CF Os Belenenses

(Away)
19 Sept
Beira Mar
0 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0
Atletico CP
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3
CF Os Belenenses
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0
Santarem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amarante FC 14 9 4 1 22:11 31
2 Academica 14 8 4 2 23:13 28
3 CF Os Belenenses 14 7 5 2 25:16 26
4 Mafra 14 5 2 7 17:24 17
5 Vitoria Guimaraes B 14 4 5 5 16:17 17
6 Varzim 14 4 2 8 13:19 14
7 Santarem 14 2 4 8 13:20 10
8 Trofense 14 2 4 8 7:16 10
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)