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Troglav Livno vs Radnicki Lukavac

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

FBiH 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This FBiH 2012/2013 encounter between Troglav Livno and Radnicki Lukavac promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Troglav Livno averages 0.3 goals scored and 3.4 conceded in recent matches. Radnicki Lukavac shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Troglav Livno, 1 wins for Radnicki Lukavac, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 09.03.14 ended in a 7:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.67 for Troglav Livno and 4.00 for Radnicki Lukavac, suggesting the primary value lies in the Radnicki Lukavac double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Troglav Livno
19%
Draws
41%
Radnicki Lukavac
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Radnicki Lukavac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Troglav Livno picked up more points recently compared to Radnicki Lukavac.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 4.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Troglav Livno Clean Sheet 10%
Radnicki Lukavac Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troglav Livno Radnicki Lukavac
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 2
Draws 2 4
Losses 27 24
Goals Scored 0.27 1
Goals Conceded 3.37 2.7
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 9.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

09.03.14 Prva Liga - FBiH
Radnicki Lukavac vs Troglav Livno
7:0
24.08.13 Prva Liga - FBiH
Troglav Livno vs Radnicki Lukavac
1:0
06.04.13 Prva Liga - FBiH
Troglav Livno vs Radnicki Lukavac
0:0
09.09.12 Prva Liga - FBiH
Radnicki Lukavac vs Troglav Livno
1:1
07.06.08 Prva Liga - FBiH
Troglav Livno vs Radnicki Lukavac
2:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Troglav Livno

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Radnicki Lukavac

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troglav Livno 38 / 100
Radnicki Lukavac 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troglav Livno Radnicki Lukavac

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Radnicki Lukavac or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Troglav Livno 44%
Radnicki Lukavac 33%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Troglav Livno 38%
Radnicki Lukavac 43%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Troglav Livno 40%
Radnicki Lukavac 41%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Troglav Livno 42%
Radnicki Lukavac 39%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Troglav Livno 36%
Radnicki Lukavac 45%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Troglav Livno 46%
Radnicki Lukavac 47%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Troglav Livno attacking → ← attacking Radnicki Lukavac

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Troglav Livno have found the net in 17% of their last 30 matches.

Radnicki Lukavac have conceded at least one goal in 93% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.40 goals per match.

Troglav Livno remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Radnicki Lukavac suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

5 Points in last 5 10
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
9.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1NK Vitez28167554:2455
2Radnicki Lukavac28129740:2945
3HNK Branitelj281351043:4144
4Kakanj281261032:2542
5Bratstvo Gracanica281261034:2842
6Sloboda Tuzla281321340:2741
7Jedinstvo Bihac281251145:3341
8Capljina281251136:4541
9Bugojno281071132:3337
10Podgrmec281061229:4336
11Banovici281061236:3536
12Troglav Livno28971230:3734
13Visoko28961328:3733
14Gorazde28951435:4632
15Cazin28841625:5628
16Krajisnik00000:00