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Trois Bassins vs Sainte Rose Prediction & H2H Stats

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Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 game between Trois Bassins and Sainte Rose finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trois Bassins.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Trois Bassins
20%
Draws
58%
Sainte Rose
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sainte Rose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trois Bassins come out ahead of Sainte Rose on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Sainte Rose taking it.
  • Regular Regionale 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Trois Bassins Clean Sheet 20%
Sainte Rose Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trois Bassins Sainte Rose
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 10
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Regionale 1
Trois Bassins vs Sainte Rose
1:0
May 25, 2025 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Trois Bassins
1:0
Jul 6, 2024 Regionale 1
Trois Bassins vs Sainte Rose
0:1
Mar 31, 2024 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Trois Bassins
1:2
Sep 4, 2022 Regionale 1
Trois Bassins vs Sainte Rose
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trois Bassins 20 / 100
Sainte Rose 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trois Bassins Sainte Rose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sainte Rose Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sainte Rose conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Trois Bassins scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Trois Bassins remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Trois Bassins VS Sainte Rose
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Trois Bassins

(Home)
22 Nov
Dominicaine
2 : 0
Trois Bassins
09 Nov
Trois Bassins
2 : 1
Saint Louis
02 Nov
Piton Saint-Leu
1 : 0
Trois Bassins
19 Oct
Trois Bassins
1 : 2
Jeanne d'Arc
12 Oct
Saint-Denis
4 : 0
Trois Bassins
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Sainte Rose

(Away)
23 Nov
Saint Louis
2 : 2
Sainte Rose
09 Nov
Sainte Rose
4 : 1
Piton Saint-Leu
02 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
1 : 2
Sainte Rose
19 Oct
Sainte Rose
0 : 0
Saint-Denis
12 Oct
Tamponnaise
2 : 0
Sainte Rose
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