Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trollhattan vs Tvaaker

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Edsborgs IP, Trollhättan
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
2 - 1
11:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ajdarevic A.
43' Event
Svensson N.
Assist: Berg M.
45' Event
Jensen W.

AI Match Summary

Trollhattan host Tvaaker in the Division 1 - Södra. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Trollhattan at 1.64 goals for, 1.61 against; Tvaaker at 1.78 for, 1.37 against. Past meetings favor Tvaaker slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.19) point toward Tvaaker. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Trollhattan
20%
Draws
24%
Tvaaker
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trollhattan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Tvaaker average 1.78 goals a game right now, well clear of Trollhattan's 1.64.
  • Trollhattan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Trollhattan Clean Sheet 20%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trollhattan Tvaaker
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.64 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Trollhattan
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Trollhattan
1:1
Apr 14, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Trollhattan vs Tvaaker
1:3
Aug 26, 2023 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Trollhattan
0:3
Jun 26, 2023 Division 1 - Södra
Trollhattan vs Tvaaker
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trollhattan Compare

Top Goalscorer Svensson N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jensen W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Tvaaker Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajdarevic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trollhattan 85 / 100
Tvaaker 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trollhattan Tvaaker

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trollhattan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trollhattan scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Tvaaker has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Trollhattan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Trollhattan VS Tvaaker
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trollhattan

(Home)
20 Sept
Hassleholms IF
0 : 1
Trollhattan
17 Sept
Skovde
1 : 3
Trollhattan
11 Sept
Trollhattan
5 : 0
Utsikten
05 Sept
Trollhattan
4 : 2
Eskilsminne
29 Aug
Rosengard
3 : 2
Trollhattan
Page 1 of 6

Tvaaker

(Away)
20 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 1
Trelleborg
17 Sept
Eskilsminne
4 : 2
Tvaaker
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
06 Sept
Jonkoping
0 : 1
Tvaaker
29 Aug
Tvaaker
1 : 1
Skovde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 23 14 6 3 49:27 48
2 Hassleholms IF 23 13 3 7 43:27 42
3 Atvidaberg 23 12 6 5 46:33 42
4 Lunds Bois 24 11 8 5 46:28 41
5 AFC Malmo 23 9 8 6 42:34 35
6 Rosengard 23 9 8 6 39:33 35
7 Trollhattan 23 9 7 7 37:34 34
8 Jonkoping 23 9 6 8 29:22 33
9 Tvaaker 23 9 6 8 30:33 33
10 Olympic 23 9 3 11 40:44 30
11 Eskilsminne 23 8 5 10 38:42 29
12 Kristianstad 24 7 6 11 29:36 27
13 Skovde 23 6 9 8 26:35 27
14 Laholms 23 6 4 13 30:41 22
15 Angelholm 23 3 9 11 27:43 18
16 Utsikten 23 1 6 16 18:57 9
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)