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Tromso 2 vs Lillestrom 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tromso 2 host Lillestrom 2 in the Division 3 - Group 5. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Tromso 2 at 1.93 goals for, 1.93 against; Lillestrom 2 at 3.1 for, 2.45 against. Head-to-head, Tromso 2 have won 2 to Lillestrom 2's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 5:3. The numbers (2.50 xG vs 2.19) point toward Lillestrom 2. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Tromso 2
15%
Draws
39%
Lillestrom 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tromso 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Lillestrom 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tromso 2 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Tromso 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tromso 2 Lillestrom 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 0
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.93 3.1
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Lillestrom 2 vs Tromso 2
5:3
Sep 17, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Tromso 2 vs Lillestrom 2
2:1
May 14, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Tromso 2
2:0
Aug 12, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Tromso 2 vs Lillestrom 2
4:1
Jun 17, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Tromso 2
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tromso 2 56 / 100
Lillestrom 2 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tromso 2 Lillestrom 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tromso 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tromso 2's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lillestrom 2 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Tromso 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tromso 2 VS Lillestrom 2
2.5 Goals Scored 3.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tromso 2

(Home)
03 Oct
Tromso 2
1 : 1
Finnsnes
27 Sept
Fauske Sprint
0 : 3
Tromso 2
21 Sept
Tromso 2
6 : 0
Kongsvinger 2
14 Sept
Skjetten
3 : 2
Tromso 2
06 Sept
Tromso 2
0 : 1
Harstad
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Lillestrom 2

(Away)
27 Sept
Alta
8 : 3
Lillestrom 2
20 Sept
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Fauske Sprint
14 Sept
Skedsmo
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
06 Sept
Lillestrom 2
11 : 0
Bossekop
30 Aug
Finnsnes
0 : 1
Lillestrom 2
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