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Stadium Background

Tromso 2 vs Sortland

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Evensen-Jensen A.
67' Event
Abelsen M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2025 game between Tromso 2 and Sortland finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tromso 2
20%
Draws
29%
Sortland
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tromso 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sortland haven't matched Tromso 2's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tromso 2 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Tromso 2 Clean Sheet 15%
Sortland Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tromso 2 Sortland
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.81 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.03 3.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Tromso 2 vs Sortland
1:1
Jun 7, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Sortland vs Tromso 2
0:2
Sep 11, 2017 Division 3 - Group 6
Sortland vs Tromso 2
2:0
May 28, 2017 Division 3 - Group 6
Tromso 2 vs Sortland
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tromso 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Evensen-Jensen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Sortland Compare

Top Goalscorer Abelsen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tromso 2 84 / 100
Sortland 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tromso 2 Sortland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tromso 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tromso 2 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Sortland let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Tromso 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tromso 2 VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tromso 2

(Home)
06 Sept
Tromso 2
0 : 1
Harstad
30 Aug
Skedsmo
3 : 1
Tromso 2
17 Aug
Bossekop
3 : 3
Tromso 2
08 Aug
Tromso 2
3 : 0
Alta
02 Aug
Stromsgodset 2
0 : 2
Tromso 2
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Sortland

(Away)
26 Oct
Alta 2
7 : 1
Sortland
18 Oct
Sortland
0 : 4
Harstad
11 Oct
Sortland
1 : 4
Gamle Oslo
04 Oct
Tromso 2
1 : 1
Sortland
27 Sept
Sortland
4 : 1
Skjervoy
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