Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tromso vs Ham-Kam

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Romssa Arena, Tromsø
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tromso host Ham-Kam in the Eliteserien. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Tromso at 1.87 goals for, 1.3 against; Ham-Kam at 1.59 for, 1.69 against. Past meetings favor Tromso slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 1:4. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Ham-Kam. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tromso
20%
Draws
51%
Ham-Kam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ham-Kam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ham-Kam haven't matched Tromso's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Ham-Kam taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tromso have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tromso Clean Sheet 20%
Ham-Kam Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tromso Ham-Kam
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.87 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Tromso
1:4
Sep 21, 2025 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Ham-Kam
1:0
Jun 22, 2025 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Tromso
1:3
Mar 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Tromso vs Ham-Kam
2:0
Nov 3, 2024 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Ham-Kam
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tromso 24 / 100
Ham-Kam 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tromso Ham-Kam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ham-Kam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ham-Kam let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Tromso's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tromso stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tromso VS Ham-Kam
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tromso

(Home)
16 Sept
Alta
1 : 2
Tromso
12 Sept
Rosenborg
5 : 3
Tromso
06 Sept
Kristiansund
2 : 0
Tromso
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
27 Aug
Brighton
4 : 0
Tromso
Page 1 of 6

Ham-Kam

(Away)
16 Sept
Kjelsas
0 : 2
Ham-Kam
13 Sept
Ham-Kam
1 : 5
Molde
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Ham-Kam
30 Aug
Ham-Kam
2 : 2
Kristiansund
23 Aug
Trysil
0 : 5
Ham-Kam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodo/Glimt 20 16 2 2 52:17 50
2 Viking 20 15 2 3 51:20 47
3 Molde 20 11 3 6 43:30 36
4 Tromso 20 10 5 5 37:27 35
5 Lillestrom 20 10 2 8 28:26 32
6 Rosenborg 20 9 3 8 36:29 30
7 Fredrikstad 20 8 3 9 24:31 27
8 Brann 20 8 2 10 37:31 26
9 Sarpsborg 08 20 6 7 7 23:26 25
10 Ham-Kam 20 6 5 9 27:41 23
11 Valerenga 20 6 4 10 33:42 22
12 KFUM Oslo 20 6 4 10 22:34 22
13 Sandefjord 20 5 5 10 18:27 20
14 Kristiansund 20 5 4 11 20:37 19
15 Aalesund 20 3 9 8 31:45 18
16 Start 20 4 4 12 22:41 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)