Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tromso vs Haugesund

Norway Norway

NM Cup Romssa Arena, Tromsø
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the NM Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Tromso at 1.89 goals for, 1.39 against; Haugesund at 2.97 for, 1.63 against. Past meetings favor Tromso slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 26, 2025, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 2.38, favoring Haugesund. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tromso
15%
Draws
58%
Haugesund
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haugesund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Haugesund lately — more wins on the board than Tromso.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Haugesund taking it.
  • Haugesund arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tromso, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tromso Clean Sheet 10%
Haugesund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tromso Haugesund
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 21
Draws 6 2
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.89 2.97
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Eliteserien
Haugesund vs Tromso
2:3
Mar 30, 2025 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Haugesund
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 Eliteserien
Haugesund vs Tromso
2:0
Apr 14, 2024 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Haugesund
0:1
Nov 26, 2023 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Haugesund
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tromso 10 / 100
Haugesund 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tromso Haugesund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haugesund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tromso's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Haugesund let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Tromso has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tromso VS Haugesund
1.75 Goals Scored 3.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tromso

(Home)
20 Sept
Tromso
3 : 2
Ham-Kam
16 Sept
Alta
1 : 2
Tromso
12 Sept
Rosenborg
5 : 3
Tromso
06 Sept
Kristiansund
2 : 0
Tromso
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
Page 1 of 6

Haugesund

(Away)
20 Sept
Haugesund
4 : 2
Strommen
13 Sept
Moss
1 : 4
Haugesund
08 Sept
Djerv 1919
0 : 4
Haugesund
05 Sept
Haugesund
2 : 0
Sogndal
30 Aug
Bryne
0 : 2
Haugesund
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Aurskog/Finstadbru 0
Lillestrom 3
Froya 0
Sotra 6
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Floro 2
Forde 4
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Brodd 1
Viking 3
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Rade 1
Follo 2
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
1/32-finals
Baerum -
Lillestrom -
Sotra 1
Sogndal 2
Trygg/Lade 0
Molde 5
Asker 1
Stromsgodset 4
Jerv 1
Egersund 2
Bjarg 1
Bryne 4
Brattvag 1
Kristiansund 2
Forde 3
Aalesund 4
Arendal 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Rana FK -
Bodo/Glimt -
Sandviken 2
Asane 3
Traeff 0
Hodd 3
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Stjordals Blink 0
Fredrikstad 1
Madla IL -
Viking -
Honefoss -
KFUM Oslo -
Elverum 0
Raufoss 3
Vindbjart 2
Start 3
Alta 1
Tromso 2
Djerv 1919 0
Haugesund 4
Notodden 2
Odds BK 3
Flint -
Sandefjord -
Pors 2
Stabaek 1
Eidsvold TF 2
Kongsvinger 3
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Strommen 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Lyn 3
Floya 1
Rosenborg 4
Kjelsas 0
Ham-Kam 2
Grorud -
Moss -
OS TF 1
Brann 2
Follo -
Sarpsborg 08 -
Skeid 1
Valerenga 4
1/16-finals
TBD -
Sogndal -
Molde -
Stromsgodset -
Egersund -
Bryne -
Kristiansund -
Aalesund -
Sandnes Ulf -
TBD -
Asane -
Hodd -
Ranheim -
Fredrikstad -
TBD -
TBD -
Raufoss -
Start -
Tromso -
Haugesund -
Odds BK -
TBD -
Pors -
Kongsvinger -
Tromsdalen (TUIL) -
Lyn -
Rosenborg -
Ham-Kam -
TBD -
Brann -
TBD -
Valerenga -
1/8-finals
TBD -
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -