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Tromso vs KFUM Oslo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Romssa Arena, Tromsø
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tromso host KFUM Oslo in the Eliteserien. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Tromso have averaged 1.86 scored and 1.46 conceded recently, against KFUM Oslo's 1.41 scored and 1.62 conceded. Head-to-head, Tromso have won 2 to KFUM Oslo's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.81, favoring Tromso. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tromso
15%
Draws
48%
KFUM Oslo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFUM Oslo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tromso come out ahead of KFUM Oslo on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Tromso Clean Sheet 11%
KFUM Oslo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tromso KFUM Oslo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.86 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Eliteserien
KFUM Oslo vs Tromso
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 NM Cup
KFUM Oslo vs Tromso
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Eliteserien
Tromso vs KFUM Oslo
2:0
May 11, 2025 Eliteserien
KFUM Oslo vs Tromso
1:3
May 8, 2025 NM Cup
Tromso vs KFUM Oslo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tromso 30 / 100
KFUM Oslo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tromso KFUM Oslo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tromso found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

KFUM Oslo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Tromso stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tromso VS KFUM Oslo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tromso

(Home)
20 Sept
Tromso
3 : 2
Ham-Kam
16 Sept
Alta
1 : 2
Tromso
12 Sept
Rosenborg
5 : 3
Tromso
06 Sept
Kristiansund
2 : 0
Tromso
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
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KFUM Oslo

(Away)
30 Sept
Honefoss
0 : 2
KFUM Oslo
18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3
KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
KFUM Oslo
2 : 1
Aalesund
06 Sept
Molde
2 : 0
KFUM Oslo
30 Aug
Start
4 : 1
KFUM Oslo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 21 16 2 3 54:20 50
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 21 9 2 10 39:32 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)