Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tromso vs Molde

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Romssa Arena, Tromsø
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Edvardsson D.
57'
Sub
Spiten-Nysaeter O. In: Zady C.
Out: Spiten-Nysaeter O.
57'
Sub
Granaas S. In: Kone-Doherty T.
Out: Granaas S.

AI Match Summary

Tromso in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tromso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tromso
6%
Draws
4%
Molde
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tromso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tromso have won more games recently than Molde.
  • Model gives Tromso a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tromso Clean Sheet 17%
Molde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tromso Molde
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Molde
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Eliteserien
Molde vs Tromso
2:0
Jul 5, 2025 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Molde
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Eliteserien
Molde vs Tromso
5:3
Jun 28, 2024 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Molde
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tromso Compare

Top Goalscorer Vadebu I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nyhammer T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Molde Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tromso 84 / 100
Molde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tromso Molde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tromso found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Molde has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tromso stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tromso VS Molde
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tromso

(Home)
23 Jul
Tromso
0 : 1
Hradec Kralove
18 Jul
Ham-Kam
1 : 4
Tromso
11 Jul
Tromso
4 : 0
Valerenga
25 Jun
Tromso
4 : 1
Orgryte
29 May
KFUM Oslo
0 : 0
Tromso
Page 1 of 6

Molde

(Away)
26 Jul
KFUM Oslo
2 : 4
Molde
18 Jul
Molde
1 : 2
Brann
11 Jul
Aalesund
2 : 2
Molde
05 Jul
Rosenborg
2 : 1
Molde
28 Jun
Molde
1 : 4
Bodo/Glimt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt15112237:1135
2Viking14111234:1434
3Tromso1594226:1531
4Lillestrom1481522:1425
5Molde1472525:1923
6Sarpsborg 081463515:1621
7Valerenga1462622:2420
8Brann1561830:2519
9Rosenborg1453619:1818
10Ham-Kam1453620:2618
11Sandefjord1443713:2015
12Fredrikstad1442815:2714
13Aalesund1427519:2913
14KFUM Oslo1433815:2512
15Kristiansund1433812:2312
16Start1524916:3410
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)