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Tronder-Lyn vs Mosjoen

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Aune O.
34' Event
Pettersen F.
45' Event
Arukwe A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2023 game between Tronder-Lyn and Mosjoen finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tronder-Lyn
15%
Draws
49%
Mosjoen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mosjoen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mosjoen haven't matched Tronder-Lyn's recent run of results.
  • Tronder-Lyn are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tronder-Lyn Clean Sheet 20%
Mosjoen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tronder-Lyn Mosjoen
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 6 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 25
Goals Scored 1.68 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.93 3.51
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Tronder-Lyn vs Mosjoen
2:2
Apr 29, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Mosjoen vs Tronder-Lyn
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tronder-Lyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Aune O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arukwe A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Mosjoen Compare

Top Goalscorer Pettersen F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kazacoks J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tronder-Lyn 42 / 100
Mosjoen 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tronder-Lyn Mosjoen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tronder-Lyn scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Mosjoen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Mosjoen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tronder-Lyn VS Mosjoen
0 Goals Scored 0.25
5 Goals Conceded 4.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tronder-Lyn

(Home)
22 Aug
Tronder-Lyn
0 : 5
Kristiansund
29 Oct
Kristiansund 2
4 : 1
Tronder-Lyn
22 Oct
Tronder-Lyn
3 : 2
Tiller
14 Oct
Nardo
3 : 2
Tronder-Lyn
07 Oct
Tronder-Lyn
1 : 6
Steinkjer
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Mosjoen

(Away)
13 Apr
Mosjoen
0 : 4
Rana FK
27 Oct
Mosjoen
2 : 4
Trygg/Lade
20 Oct
Byasen
6 : 1
Mosjoen
13 Oct
Mosjoen
3 : 2
Lillestrom 2
05 Oct
Mosjoen
3 : 3
Melhus
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