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Tronder-Lyn vs Tiller

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Stuen S.
67' Event
Eggen N.
74' Event
Morken H.

AI Match Summary

Tronder-Lyn in this Division 3 - Group 5 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tronder-Lyn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Tronder-Lyn
15%
Draws
21%
Tiller
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tronder-Lyn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Tronder-Lyn have won more games recently than Tiller.
  • Tiller are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Tronder-Lyn Clean Sheet 20%
Tiller Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tronder-Lyn Tiller
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 6 2
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 26
Goals Scored 1.68 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.93 3.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Tronder-Lyn vs Tiller
3:2
Jul 29, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Tiller vs Tronder-Lyn
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tronder-Lyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Morken H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jensen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Tiller Compare

Top Goalscorer Stuen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eggen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tronder-Lyn 16 / 100
Tiller 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tronder-Lyn Tiller

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tiller Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tronder-Lyn's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Tiller's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Tiller's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tronder-Lyn VS Tiller
0 Goals Scored 1.38
5 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tronder-Lyn

(Home)
22 Aug
Tronder-Lyn
0 : 5
Kristiansund
29 Oct
Kristiansund 2
4 : 1
Tronder-Lyn
22 Oct
Tronder-Lyn
3 : 2
Tiller
14 Oct
Nardo
3 : 2
Tronder-Lyn
07 Oct
Tronder-Lyn
1 : 6
Steinkjer
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Tiller

(Away)
26 Oct
Byasen
3 : 2
Tiller
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
FK Kvik
4 : 0
Tiller
06 Oct
Tiller
2 : 5
Rosenborg 2
27 Sept
Trygg/Lade
1 : 0
Tiller
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