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Tronder-Lyn vs Verdal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Vollan M.
31' Event
Mckellar E.
71' Event
Mckellar E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2023 game between Tronder-Lyn and Verdal finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Verdal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tronder-Lyn
15%
Draws
0%
Verdal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tronder-Lyn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Verdal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tronder-Lyn's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tronder-Lyn Clean Sheet 20%
Verdal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tronder-Lyn Verdal
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.68 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.93 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Tronder-Lyn vs Verdal
0:3
Jun 10, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Verdal vs Tronder-Lyn
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tronder-Lyn Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Verdal Compare

Top Goalscorer Mckellar E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vollan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tronder-Lyn 85 / 100
Verdal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tronder-Lyn Verdal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tronder-Lyn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tronder-Lyn scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Verdal lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Verdal has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tronder-Lyn VS Verdal
0 Goals Scored 2.25
5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tronder-Lyn

(Home)
22 Aug
Tronder-Lyn
0 : 5
Kristiansund
29 Oct
Kristiansund 2
4 : 1
Tronder-Lyn
22 Oct
Tronder-Lyn
3 : 2
Tiller
14 Oct
Nardo
3 : 2
Tronder-Lyn
07 Oct
Tronder-Lyn
1 : 6
Steinkjer
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Verdal

(Away)
24 Jan
Levanger
10 : 1
Verdal
13 Apr
Verdal
0 : 8
Levanger
27 Oct
Verdal
1 : 6
Nardo
20 Oct
Melhus
4 : 0
Verdal
05 Oct
Verdal
1 : 3
Tiller
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