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Troon FC vs Cumbernauld Colts Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Veitch C.
19' Event
Horn T.
Assist: Freel J.
45' Event
Howe H.
Assist: Horn T.

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between Troon FC and Cumbernauld Colts finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cumbernauld Colts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Troon FC
15%
Draws
46%
Cumbernauld Colts
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cumbernauld Colts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Troon FC haven't matched Cumbernauld Colts's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Troon FC Clean Sheet 10%
Cumbernauld Colts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troon FC Cumbernauld Colts
Matches Played 13 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 1 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.85 2.03
Goals Conceded 2 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Lowland League
Troon FC vs Cumbernauld Colts
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Troon FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Veitch C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Cumbernauld Colts Compare

Top Goalscorer Horn T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Howe H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troon FC 30 / 100
Cumbernauld Colts 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troon FC Cumbernauld Colts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cumbernauld Colts Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cumbernauld Colts conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Troon FC scored in 77% of their last 13 games.

Recent resilience: Troon FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Troon FC VS Cumbernauld Colts
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Troon FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Deveronvale
2 : 3
Troon FC
26 Sept
Troon FC
2 : 4
Kilwinning Rangers
23 Sept
Cumnock Juniors
4 : 0
Troon FC
16 Sept
Troon FC
1 : 2
Johnstone Burgh
12 Sept
Newton Stewart
1 : 5
Troon FC
Page 1 of 3

Cumbernauld Colts

(Away)
03 Oct
Haddington Athletic
0 : 2
Cumbernauld Colts
26 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 4
St. Mirren B
22 Sept
Stirling
1 : 1
Cumbernauld Colts
19 Sept
Albion Rovers
2 : 1
Cumbernauld Colts
15 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)