Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Troon FC vs Gretna 2008 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Anderson I.
52' Event
Viviani D.
Assist: Fulton D.
57' Event
Frew C.

AI Match Summary

Troon FC in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Troon FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Troon FC
15%
Draws
51%
Gretna 2008
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gretna 2008

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Gretna 2008 have won more games recently than Troon FC.
  • Win probability leans Gretna 2008's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Troon FC Clean Sheet 10%
Gretna 2008 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troon FC Gretna 2008
Matches Played 13 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 1 5
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.85 1.6
Goals Conceded 2 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Lowland League
Troon FC vs Gretna 2008
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Troon FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Viviani D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Frew C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Gretna 2008 Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troon FC 18 / 100
Gretna 2008 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troon FC Gretna 2008

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gretna 2008 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gretna 2008's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Troon FC scored in 77% of their last 13 outings.

Troon FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Troon FC VS Gretna 2008
2 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Troon FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Deveronvale
2 : 3
Troon FC
26 Sept
Troon FC
2 : 4
Kilwinning Rangers
23 Sept
Cumnock Juniors
4 : 0
Troon FC
16 Sept
Troon FC
1 : 2
Johnstone Burgh
12 Sept
Newton Stewart
1 : 5
Troon FC
Page 1 of 3

Gretna 2008

(Away)
03 Oct
Nairn County
0 : 1
Gretna 2008
26 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 5
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Gretna 2008
3 : 1
Celtic B
15 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
12 Sept
Gretna 2008
2 : 3
Pollok
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)