Sport Picks
Troon FC vs Johnstone Burgh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Lowland League 
Match Events
3'
3'
Kerr M.
22'
22'
Kerr M.
Assist: Kerr K.
74'
74'
Viviani D.
Assist: Guthrie M.
AI Match Summary
The Lowland League game between Troon FC and Johnstone Burgh finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Johnstone Burgh.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johnstone Burgh
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Johnstone Burgh come out ahead of Troon FC on wins alone.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Johnstone Burgh taking it.
- Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Troon FC Clean Sheet 10%
Johnstone Burgh Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Troon FC | Johnstone Burgh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 13 | 15 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.85 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Lowland League
Troon FC vs Johnstone Burgh
1:2
Jul 29, 2026 Lowland League
Johnstone Burgh vs Troon FC
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Troon FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Viviani D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Johnstone Burgh Compare
Top Goalscorer Kerr M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Troon FC 26 / 100
Johnstone Burgh 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Troon FC Johnstone Burgh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Johnstone Burgh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Johnstone Burgh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 15 matches.
Troon FC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 13 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Troon FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Troon FC VS Johnstone Burgh
2 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Troon FC
(Home) 03 Oct
Deveronvale
2 : 3 Troon FC
26 Sept
Troon FC
2 : 4 Kilwinning Rangers
23 Sept
Cumnock Juniors
4 : 0 Troon FC
16 Sept
Troon FC
1 : 2 Johnstone Burgh
12 Sept
Newton Stewart
1 : 5 Troon FC
Page 1 of 3
26 Sept
Troon FC
2 : 4 Kilwinning Rangers
16 Sept
Troon FC
1 : 2 Johnstone Burgh
29 Aug
Troon FC
1 : 3 Cumbernauld Colts
19 Aug
Troon FC
2 : 0 Renfrew
01 Aug
Troon FC
4 : 1 Gretna 2008
Page 1 of 2
Johnstone Burgh
(Away) 03 Oct
Newton Stewart
1 : 3 Johnstone Burgh
26 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
3 : 2 Renfrew
23 Sept
Largs Thistle
1 : 0 Johnstone Burgh
16 Sept
Troon FC
1 : 2 Johnstone Burgh
12 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
4 : 4 Johnstone Burgh
Page 1 of 3
03 Oct
Newton Stewart
1 : 3 Johnstone Burgh
23 Sept
Largs Thistle
1 : 0 Johnstone Burgh
16 Sept
Troon FC
1 : 2 Johnstone Burgh
12 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
4 : 4 Johnstone Burgh
19 Aug
Pollok
3 : 1 Johnstone Burgh
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tranent FC | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 18:5 | 25 |
| 2 | Linlithgow Rose | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 29:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Brechin | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20:10 | 22 |
| 4 | Broxburn Athletic | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 22 |
| 5 | Hill Of Beath | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23:9 | 18 |
| 7 | Lochee United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21:16 | 17 |
| 8 | Civil Service Strollers | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 9 | Boness United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 10 | East Stirlingshire | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:21 | 10 |
| 11 | Cowdenbeath | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:15 | 9 |
| 12 | Musselburgh | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:15 | 9 |
| 13 | Berwick | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | 5 |
| 14 | Dunipace | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 15 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9:22 | 3 |
| 16 | Stirling University | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11:27 | 3 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilwinning Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 35:15 | 27 |
| 2 | Pollok | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Largs Thistle | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Auchinleck Talbot | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 35:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Clydebank FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 32:18 | 20 |
| 6 | Caledonian Braves | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 31:21 | 19 |
| 7 | Johnstone Burgh | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 8 | Celtic B | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 28:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Cumnock Juniors | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 25:18 | 17 |
| 10 | Troon FC | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 20:23 | 12 |
| 11 | Cumbernauld Colts | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20:23 | 10 |
| 12 | Gretna 2008 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 25:33 | 10 |
| 13 | Beith | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:28 | 9 |
| 14 | Albion Rovers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:21 | 8 |
| 15 | Renfrew | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18:29 | 7 |
| 16 | Newton Stewart | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:37 | 4 |
| 17 | Dalbeattie Star | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6:35 | 1 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
