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Stadium Background

Troszyn vs Jagiellonia II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Zalewski Z.
54' Event
Tyska J.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Troszyn and Jagiellonia II finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Troszyn
28%
Draws
22%
Jagiellonia II
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Troszyn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Troszyn come out ahead of Jagiellonia II on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Troszyn taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Troszyn Clean Sheet 20%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troszyn Jagiellonia II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Troszyn
0:1
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Troszyn vs Jagiellonia II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Troszyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyska J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Jagiellonia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Zalewski Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troszyn 49 / 100
Jagiellonia II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troszyn Jagiellonia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Troszyn's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Jagiellonia II has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Troszyn stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Troszyn VS Jagiellonia II
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Troszyn

(Home)
18 Jul
Olimpia Zambrow
0 : 3
Troszyn
30 May
GKS Wikielec
2 : 1
Troszyn
23 May
Troszyn
0 : 2
LKS Lomza
17 May
Jagiellonia II
0 : 1
Troszyn
13 May
Troszyn
4 : 1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

Jagiellonia II

(Away)
25 Jul
Biala Podlaska
3 : 4
Jagiellonia II
11 Jul
KTS Weszlo
2 : 2
Jagiellonia II
30 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Wasilkow
23 May
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
17 May
Jagiellonia II
0 : 1
Troszyn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)