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Troszyn vs Olimpia Elblag - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Wojdakowski D.
86'
Kruszewski J.
86'
Kruszewski J.

AI Match Summary

Troszyn in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Troszyn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Troszyn
30%
Draws
37%
Olimpia Elblag
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olimpia Elblag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Olimpia Elblag haven't matched Troszyn's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Troszyn have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Troszyn Clean Sheet 17%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troszyn Olimpia Elblag
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.77 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Troszyn vs Olimpia Elblag
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Troszyn vs Olimpia Elblag
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs Troszyn
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Troszyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Wojdakowski D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leonowicz F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Olimpia Elblag Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troszyn 31 / 100
Olimpia Elblag 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troszyn Olimpia Elblag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Troszyn found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Olimpia Elblag let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Troszyn went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Troszyn VS Olimpia Elblag
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Troszyn

(Home)
31 Oct
Troszyn
2 : 0
Olimpia Elblag
24 Oct
Swit Mazowiecki
3 : 0
Troszyn
18 Oct
Troszyn
1 : 1
Zabkovia Zabki
14 Oct
Jagiellonia II
0 : 1
Troszyn
10 Oct
Plock II
2 : 1
Troszyn
Page 1 of 6

Olimpia Elblag

(Away)
31 Oct
Troszyn
2 : 0
Olimpia Elblag
24 Oct
Olimpia Elblag
0 : 0
Jagiellonia II
17 Oct
LKS Lodz II
1 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
10 Oct
Olimpia Elblag
2 : 1
MKS Mlawa
03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 15 10 2 3 30:17 32
2 Suwalki 15 9 4 2 30:15 31
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 15 8 3 4 36:28 27
4 Swit Mazowiecki 15 8 2 5 28:22 26
5 Zabkovia Zabki 15 7 4 4 29:23 25
6 Warta Sieradz 15 7 4 4 25:22 25
7 Plock II 15 7 4 4 29:24 25
8 Pelikan 15 7 3 5 25:22 24
9 Olimpia Zambrow 15 6 3 6 31:31 21
10 Jagiellonia II 15 5 5 5 27:27 20
11 Widzew Lodz II 15 5 4 6 28:25 19
12 LKS Lodz II 15 5 3 7 27:30 18
13 Olimpia Elblag 15 5 3 7 19:24 18
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 15 5 2 8 25:30 17
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 15 4 3 8 25:29 15
16 MKS Mlawa 15 4 2 9 28:41 14
17 Troszyn 15 3 5 7 17:30 14
18 LKS Lomza 15 0 4 11 16:35 4
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)