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Troszyn vs Zabkovia Zabki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Troszyn host Zabkovia Zabki in the III Liga - Group I. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Zabkovia Zabki have shipped 1.96 goals a game lately, while Troszyn have conceded 1.43 and scored 1.82. Past meetings favor Troszyn slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.44 - 2.06) back Troszyn to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Troszyn
30%
Draws
42%
Zabkovia Zabki
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zabkovia Zabki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Zabkovia Zabki haven't matched Troszyn's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Troszyn Clean Sheet 10%
Zabkovia Zabki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troszyn Zabkovia Zabki
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.82 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Troszyn vs Zabkovia Zabki
4:0
Aug 30, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Zabkovia Zabki vs Troszyn
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troszyn 30 / 100
Zabkovia Zabki 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troszyn Zabkovia Zabki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Troszyn found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Zabkovia Zabki has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Troszyn stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Troszyn VS Zabkovia Zabki
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Troszyn

(Home)
26 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lodz II
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1
Troszyn
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lomza
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Troszyn
29 Aug
Troszyn
3 : 3
KTS Weszlo
Page 1 of 6

Zabkovia Zabki

(Away)
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4
MKS Mlawa
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Zabkovia Zabki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
05 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 0
Zabkovia Zabki
29 Aug
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 1
Pelikan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 27:18 21
4 Pelikan 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
5 Swit Mazowiecki 11 6 2 3 20:12 20
6 Plock II 11 5 3 3 22:18 18
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
10 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
11 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
13 Olimpia Elblag 11 4 1 6 16:20 13
14 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
15 MKS Mlawa 11 3 1 7 22:32 10
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 11 2 3 6 16:22 9
17 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
18 LKS Lomza 11 0 3 8 10:25 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)