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Troyan vs Kom Berkovitsa

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2025/2026
Troyan Logo

Troyan

0 - 3
FT
Kom Berkovitsa Logo

Kom Berkovitsa

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2025/2026 game between Troyan and Kom Berkovitsa finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kom Berkovitsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Troyan
30%
Draws
47%
Kom Berkovitsa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kom Berkovitsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Kom Berkovitsa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Troyan a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Troyan Clean Sheet 10%
Kom Berkovitsa Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troyan Kom Berkovitsa
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 5 15
Draws 1 8
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.91 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Third League - North-West
Kom Berkovitsa vs Troyan
4:1
Nov 8, 2025 Third League - North-West
Troyan vs Kom Berkovitsa
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troyan 34 / 100
Kom Berkovitsa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troyan Kom Berkovitsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Kom Berkovitsa conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Troyan scored in 50% of their last 22 outings.

Solid form: Troyan remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Troyan VS Kom Berkovitsa
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Troyan

(Home)
23 May
OFK Levski
3 : 1
Troyan
16 May
Troyan
1 : 0
Yantra Polski Trambesh
09 May
Troyan
0 : 1
Pavlikeni
03 May
Kom Berkovitsa
4 : 1
Troyan
25 Apr
Troyan
1 : 4
Lokomotiv Mezdra
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Kom Berkovitsa

(Away)
12 Sept
Kom Berkovitsa
2 : 1
Spartak Pleven II
05 Sept
Lokomotiv Mezdra
4 : 0
Kom Berkovitsa
29 Aug
Kom Berkovitsa
2 : 2
Yantra Polski Trambesh
22 Aug
Etar II
2 : 2
Kom Berkovitsa
23 May
Akademik Svishtov
1 : 1
Kom Berkovitsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 22 19 1 2 62:20 58
2 Akademik Svishtov 22 17 3 2 40:11 54
3 Kom Berkovitsa 22 13 6 3 46:22 45
4 Bdin Vidin 22 14 1 7 57:26 43
5 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 8 6 8 25:25 30
6 Pavlikeni 22 9 3 10 29:24 30
7 Etar II 22 8 5 9 32:31 29
8 Yantra Polski Trambesh 22 6 6 10 37:47 24
9 OFK Levski 22 6 5 11 32:35 23
10 Troyan 22 5 1 16 20:56 16
11 Juventus Malchika 22 2 1 19 14:72 4
12 FC Lovech 22 6 0 16 18:43 18
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