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Troyes II vs Calais

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CFA - Group A 2015/2016
Troyes II Logo

Troyes II

0 - 1
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Calais Logo

Calais

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group A 2015/2016 game between Troyes II and Calais finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calais.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Troyes II
30%
Draws
23%
Calais
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Troyes II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Calais carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Troyes II Clean Sheet 15%
Calais Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troyes II Calais
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 13
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2016 National 1 - Group A
Troyes II vs Calais
0:1
Oct 31, 2015 National 1 - Group A
Calais vs Troyes II
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troyes II 35 / 100
Calais 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troyes II Calais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calais Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calais has conceded goals in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Calais lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Troyes II scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Troyes II VS Calais
0.6 Goals Scored 1.5
1.6 Goals Conceded 1.13
60% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Troyes II

(Home)
12 Sept
Nimes
4 : 0
Troyes II
05 Sept
Troyes II
3 : 1
Saint Priest
29 Aug
Rumilly Vallieres
3 : 0
Troyes II
22 Aug
Troyes II
0 : 0
Istres
04 Jun
Quevilly
4 : 1
Troyes II
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Calais

(Away)
20 May
Calais
4 : 4
Boulogne Billancourt
13 May
Lens II
1 : 1
Calais
29 Apr
Calais
2 : 4
Arras
22 Apr
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1
Calais
15 Apr
Calais
1 : 3
Viry-Chatillon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quevilly 30 17 11 2 50:22 92
2 IC Croix 30 15 10 5 55:37 85
3 Poissy 30 15 7 8 55:42 82
4 Sannois 30 12 10 8 46:39 76
5 Arras 30 11 8 11 43:43 71
6 Amiens AC 30 12 4 14 35:34 70
7 PSG II 30 11 7 12 35:40 70
8 Mantes 30 11 6 13 31:38 69
9 Calais 30 10 8 12 32:37 68
10 Boulogne Billancourt 30 10 8 12 43:40 68
11 Dieppe 30 9 10 11 31:24 67
12 Wasquehal 30 12 10 8 44:41 66
13 Lens II 30 9 9 12 37:45 66
14 Troyes II 30 9 9 12 41:47 65
15 Aubervilliers 30 4 12 14 27:47 54
16 Roye 30 5 7 18 38:67 51
Promotion - National 2016/2017 (Main)