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Troyes II vs GOAL FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Kharbouch Y.

AI Match Summary

Troyes II in this National 1 - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Troyes II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Troyes II
15%
Draws
37%
GOAL FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Troyes II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Troyes II have won more games recently than GOAL FC.
  • GOAL FC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular National 1 - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Troyes II Clean Sheet 14%
GOAL FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troyes II GOAL FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 12
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Troyes II vs GOAL FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Troyes II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kharbouch Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

GOAL FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troyes II 19 / 100
GOAL FC 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troyes II GOAL FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOAL FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: GOAL FC conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Troyes II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Troyes II scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Troyes II VS GOAL FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Troyes II

(Home)
11 Nov
Frejus Saint Raphael
4 : 1
Troyes II
07 Nov
Troyes II
1 : 0
Canet Roussillon
31 Oct
Bourges 18
2 : 3
Troyes II
17 Oct
Troyes II
1 : 0
GOAL FC
03 Oct
Toulon
1 : 0
Troyes II
Page 1 of 6

GOAL FC

(Away)
07 Nov
Hyeres
0 : 0
GOAL FC
31 Oct
GOAL FC
2 : 3
Hauts Lyonnais
17 Oct
Troyes II
1 : 0
GOAL FC
03 Oct
GOAL FC
2 : 0
Lyon - La Duchere
19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4
GOAL FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 10 6 3 1 21:7 21
2 Rumilly Vallieres 9 6 0 3 31:14 18
3 Toulon 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Frejus Saint Raphael 9 5 1 3 19:13 16
5 Hauts Lyonnais 10 4 4 2 12:10 16
6 Troyes II 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
7 Hyeres 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
8 Touraine 8 4 3 1 8:4 15
9 Andrezieux 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Saint Priest 10 2 5 3 12:17 11
11 GOAL FC 8 2 4 2 11:9 10
12 Limonest 9 1 5 3 10:14 8
13 Lyon - La Duchere 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
14 Bourges 18 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
15 Canet Roussillon 9 1 3 5 4:15 6
16 Istres 9 0 5 4 2:14 5
17 Chateauroux 8 0 4 4 7:13 4
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)