Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Troyes vs Le Mans - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Diaz Jr. M.
33' Event
Diop M.
Assist: Nkada T.
46'
Sub
Nkada T. In: Diawara K.
Out: Nkada T.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Troyes and Le Mans finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Troyes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Troyes
30%
Draws
12%
Le Mans
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Troyes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Troyes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Troyes a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Troyes Clean Sheet 68%
Le Mans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troyes Le Mans
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Ligue 1
Troyes vs Le Mans
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Le Mans
0:2
Oct 3, 2025 Ligue 2
Le Mans vs Troyes
2:2
Mar 13, 2020 Ligue 2
Le Mans vs Troyes
0:0
Oct 18, 2019 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Le Mans
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Troyes Compare

Top Goalscorer Diop M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boura I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Le Mans Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troyes 86 / 100
Le Mans 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troyes Le Mans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Troyes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Troyes's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Le Mans has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Troyes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Troyes VS Le Mans
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Troyes

(Home)
31 Oct
Troyes
2 : 0
Le Mans
25 Oct
Toulouse
0 : 0
Troyes
17 Oct
Troyes
1 : 3
Lens
11 Oct
Troyes
0 : 2
Marseille
02 Oct
Dijon
2 : 2
Troyes
Page 1 of 6

Le Mans

(Away)
31 Oct
Troyes
2 : 0
Le Mans
25 Oct
Auxerre
1 : 1
Le Mans
16 Oct
Le Mans
0 : 3
Toulouse
10 Oct
PSG
3 : 1
Le Mans
02 Oct
Guingamp
2 : 1
Le Mans
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Lille 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Lyon 9 5 2 2 15:7 17
4 Paris FC 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
5 Rennes 9 5 1 3 20:19 16
6 Marseille 9 5 0 4 20:13 15
7 Monaco 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Nice 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
9 Lens 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Brest 9 3 3 3 16:12 12
11 Lorient 9 3 3 3 7:8 12
12 Toulouse 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Strasbourg 9 3 1 5 17:19 10
14 Auxerre 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
15 Angers 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
16 Troyes 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
17 Le Mans 9 1 4 4 11:18 7
18 Le Havre 9 0 2 7 9:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)