Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Troyes vs Luzenac

France France

Ligue 2 2014/2015 Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Fri, May 22, 2015
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Troyes host Luzenac in the Ligue 2 2014/2015. Troyes are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Troyes at 1.89 goals for, 1 against; Luzenac at 2 for, 5 against. Past meetings favor Troyes slightly — 1-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 22, 2015, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.54 - 0.94) back Troyes to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Troyes
25%
Draws
35%
Luzenac
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Troyes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Troyes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Troyes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Troyes Clean Sheet 20%
Luzenac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troyes Luzenac
Matches Played 28 1
Wins 17 0
Draws 5 0
Losses 6 1
Goals Scored 1.89 2
Goals Conceded 1 5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2015 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Luzenac
0:0
Aug 1, 2014 Ligue 2
Luzenac vs Troyes
0:0
Apr 6, 2010 Ligue 3
Troyes vs Luzenac
1:0
Sep 4, 2009 Ligue 3
Luzenac vs Troyes
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troyes 85 / 100
Luzenac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troyes Luzenac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Troyes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Troyes scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Luzenac's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 1 matches.

Recent resilience: Troyes stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Troyes VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Troyes

(Home)
29 Aug
Lorient
1 : 2
Troyes
22 Aug
Troyes
0 : 0
Paris FC
14 Aug
Troyes
1 : 1
Panetolikos
08 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 1
Troyes
31 Jul
Troyes
5 : 2
GOAL FC
Page 1 of 6

Luzenac

(Away)
18 Nov
Luzenac
2 : 5
Rodez

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 38 24 6 8 61:24 78
2 GFC Ajaccio 38 18 11 9 49:37 65
3 Angers 38 18 10 10 47:30 64
4 Dijon 38 17 10 11 44:34 61
5 Nancy 38 15 13 10 53:39 58
6 Brest 38 14 15 9 41:27 57
7 Le Havre 38 14 13 11 47:37 55
8 Laval 38 11 21 6 41:34 54
9 Auxerre 38 12 16 10 48:42 52
10 Sochaux 38 13 13 12 39:37 52
11 Niort 38 11 17 10 41:42 50
12 Clermont 38 12 13 13 43:47 49
13 Nimes 38 12 10 16 44:57 46
14 Creteil 38 10 15 13 44:52 45
15 Tours 38 12 8 18 49:54 44
16 Valenciennes 38 10 12 16 34:51 42
17 AC Ajaccio 38 9 14 15 32:42 41
18 Orleans 38 9 13 16 36:47 40
19 Chateauroux 38 7 11 20 31:63 32
20 Arles-Avignon 38 7 9 22 31:59 30
Relegation - National 2015/2016 (Main)
Relegation - National 2015/2016 (Main)
Relegation - National 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2015/2016 (Main)