Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Troyes vs Strasbourg

France France

Ligue 1 Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Mille A.
Assist: Ouzenadji A.
37'
Diaz Jr. M.
40' Event
Ortega J.
Assist: Yassine G.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Troyes and Strasbourg finished 2-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Strasbourg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Troyes
20%
Draws
51%
Strasbourg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Strasbourg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Troyes come out ahead of Strasbourg on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Troyes Clean Sheet 19%
Strasbourg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troyes Strasbourg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.76 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Ligue 1
Troyes vs Strasbourg
2:6
May 21, 2023 Ligue 1
Troyes vs Strasbourg
1:1
Jan 2, 2023 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Troyes
2:3
Apr 17, 2022 Ligue 1
Troyes vs Strasbourg
1:1
Aug 22, 2021 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Troyes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Troyes Compare

Top Goalscorer Mille A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Le Douaron J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Strasbourg Compare

Top Goalscorer Amo-Ameyaw S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ortega J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troyes 36 / 100
Strasbourg 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troyes Strasbourg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strasbourg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strasbourg has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Troyes scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Troyes remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Troyes VS Strasbourg
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Troyes

(Home)
19 Sept
Angers
2 : 0
Troyes
13 Sept
Lille
2 : 0
Troyes
06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6
Strasbourg
29 Aug
Lorient
1 : 2
Troyes
22 Aug
Troyes
0 : 0
Paris FC
Page 1 of 6

Strasbourg

(Away)
19 Sept
Paris FC
2 : 1
Strasbourg
12 Sept
Strasbourg
1 : 1
Monaco
06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6
Strasbourg
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1
Lens
21 Aug
Marseille
4 : 0
Strasbourg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Lyon 5 3 2 0 10:2 11
3 Paris FC 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
4 Lille 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Rennes 5 3 1 1 8:9 10
6 PSG 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
7 Angers 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Strasbourg 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
9 Le Mans 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
10 Auxerre 5 2 0 3 7:12 6
11 Brest 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
12 Lorient 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Toulouse 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
14 Nice 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
15 Lens 5 1 1 3 9:9 4
16 Troyes 5 1 1 3 4:11 4
17 Marseille 5 1 0 4 7:8 3
18 Le Havre 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)