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Trujillanos vs Carabobo

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio José Alberto Pérez
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trujillanos play Carabobo in the Liga FUTVE. It looks like a close match. Recently, Trujillanos averaged 0.85 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. Carabobo averaged 1.55 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Trujillanos won 2, Carabobo won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.51 for Trujillanos and 0.88 for Carabobo. This points to a Carabobo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Trujillanos
35%
Draws
35%
Carabobo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Carabobo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Trujillanos picked up more points recently compared to Carabobo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.51 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Trujillanos Clean Sheet 25%
Carabobo Clean Sheet 22%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trujillanos Carabobo
Matches Played 27 38
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 13
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.85 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.22 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Trujillanos vs Carabobo
1:1
Dec 5, 2020 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Trujillanos
2:2
Nov 5, 2020 Liga FUTVE
Trujillanos vs Carabobo
3:0
Mar 15, 2020 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Trujillanos
0:0
Sep 28, 2019 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Trujillanos
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trujillanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Abreu E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Carabobo Compare

Top Goalscorer Tortolero E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trujillanos 32 / 100
Carabobo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trujillanos Carabobo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Carabobo or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Trujillanos attacking → ← attacking Carabobo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trujillanos scored in 56% of their last 27 games.

Carabobo let in goals in 66% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Trujillanos went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Carabobo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 61
0.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Deportivo La Guaira1376015:627
2Metropolitanos1374217:1025
3Dep. Tachira1373317:1224
4Universidad Central1372424:2023
5Portuguesa1355320:1220
6Estudiantes Merida1362521:1820
7Carabobo1347223:1419
8Academia Puerto Cabello1345416:1417
9Zamora1345414:1417
10Caracas1336415:1715
11Rayo Zuliano1342713:2314
12Monagas1332814:2211
13Academia Anzoategui1323815:259
14Trujillanos130499:264