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Trujillanos vs Deportivo La Guaira

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio José Alberto Pérez, Valera
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Sub
Polo A. In: Livingston D.
Out: Polo A.
57'
Sub
Lunar F. In: Rivas Y.
Out: Lunar F.
65'
Gonzalez M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Trujillanos and Deportivo La Guaira finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo La Guaira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Trujillanos
22%
Draws
18%
Deportivo La Guaira
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Trujillanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo La Guaira come out ahead of Trujillanos on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Trujillanos's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Trujillanos Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trujillanos Deportivo La Guaira
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 14
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Trujillanos vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:1
Nov 22, 2020 Liga FUTVE
Trujillanos vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:2
Oct 20, 2020 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Trujillanos
1:2
May 10, 2020 Liga FUTVE
Trujillanos vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:0
Nov 19, 2019 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Trujillanos
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trujillanos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Castellanos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trujillanos 68 / 100
Deportivo La Guaira 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trujillanos Deportivo La Guaira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Deportivo La Guaira lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Trujillanos scored in 56% of their last 25 games.

Deportivo La Guaira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Trujillanos VS Deportivo La Guaira
0.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
13% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Trujillanos

(Home)
24 Jun
Rayo Zuliano
0 : 0
Trujillanos
25 Apr
Trujillanos
0 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
21 Apr
Academia Puerto Cabello
3 : 1
Trujillanos
12 Apr
Trujillanos
0 : 2
Estudiantes Merida
04 Apr
Rayo Zuliano
3 : 1
Trujillanos
Page 1 of 5

Deportivo La Guaira

(Away)
31 May
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello
28 May
Fluminense
3 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
23 May
Portuguesa
0 : 2
Deportivo La Guaira
21 May
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Ind. Rivadavia
15 May
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 0
Universidad Central
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo La Guaira1376015:627
2Metropolitanos1374217:1025
3Dep. Tachira1373317:1224
4Universidad Central1372424:2023
5Portuguesa1355320:1220
6Estudiantes Merida1362521:1820
7Carabobo1347223:1419
8Academia Puerto Cabello1345416:1417
9Zamora1345414:1417
10Caracas1336415:1715
11Rayo Zuliano1342713:2314
12Monagas1332814:2211
13Academia Anzoategui1323815:259
14Trujillanos130499:264
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)