Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Southern Premier League 2014/2015 game between Truro and Arlesey finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Truro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Truro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Truro carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Truro's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Truro have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Truro Clean Sheet 20%
Arlesey Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Truro | Arlesey |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 2.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2015 Southern Premier League
Truro vs Arlesey
3:1
Dec 13, 2014 Southern Premier League
Arlesey vs Truro
2:3
Feb 22, 2014 Southern Premier League
Truro vs Arlesey
2:0
Dec 21, 2013 Southern Premier League
Arlesey vs Truro
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Truro 85 / 100
Arlesey 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Truro Arlesey
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Truro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Arlesey conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.
Arlesey lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Truro found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Truro VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Truro
(Home) 26 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 2 Truro
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1 Salisbury
12 Sept
Truro
1 : 1 Walton & Hersham
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1 Salisbury
12 Sept
Truro
1 : 1 Walton & Hersham
08 Sept
Truro
4 : 1 Leicester U21
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
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Arlesey
(Away) 30 Aug
Eynesbury Rovers
3 : 1 Arlesey
15 Jul
Arlesey
0 : 4 Hendon
04 Sept
Arlesey
0 : 5 Bowers & Pitsea
07 Sept
Hadley
3 : 2 Arlesey
28 Oct
Needham Market
3 : 1 Arlesey
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Eynesbury Rovers
3 : 1 Arlesey
07 Sept
Hadley
3 : 2 Arlesey
28 Oct
Needham Market
3 : 1 Arlesey
11 Oct
Chalfont St Peter
6 : 0 Arlesey
06 Oct
Redbridge
2 : 0 Arlesey
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corby | 44 | 29 | 7 | 8 | 86:47 | 94 |
| 2 | Poole Town | 44 | 28 | 7 | 9 | 84:35 | 91 |
| 3 | Truro | 44 | 27 | 5 | 12 | 83:58 | 86 |
| 4 | Hungerford | 44 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 64:36 | 79 |
| 5 | Neots | 44 | 20 | 16 | 8 | 82:58 | 76 |
| 6 | Redditch | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 73:44 | 75 |
| 7 | Weymouth | 44 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 71:71 | 73 |
| 8 | Cirencester | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 77:54 | 72 |
| 9 | Hitchin | 44 | 20 | 10 | 14 | 78:63 | 70 |
| 10 | Paulton Rovers | 44 | 18 | 10 | 16 | 65:62 | 64 |
| 11 | Chippenham Town | 44 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 54:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Chesham | 44 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 79:72 | 60 |
| 13 | Cambridge City | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 71:62 | 57 |
| 14 | Dunstable Town | 44 | 16 | 9 | 19 | 71:78 | 57 |
| 15 | Bideford | 44 | 16 | 7 | 21 | 66:85 | 55 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 44 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 66:88 | 51 |
| 17 | Dorchester | 44 | 14 | 8 | 22 | 63:74 | 50 |
| 18 | Histon | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 53:74 | 49 |
| 19 | Biggleswade Town | 44 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 57:75 | 45 |
| 20 | Frome Town | 44 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 49:80 | 41 |
| 21 | Banbury | 44 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 53:86 | 37 |
| 22 | Arlesey | 44 | 10 | 6 | 28 | 43:84 | 36 |
| 23 | Burnham FC | 44 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 41:89 | 20 |
Promotion - National League South 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2014/2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2014/2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2014/2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2014/2015 (Play Offs)
