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Truro vs Brighton U21

England England

National League Cup 2025/2026 Truro Sports Hub, Truro
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Marsh A. In: Johnson-Fisher D.
Out: Marsh A.
25' Event
Sanogo S.
40'
Atom N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Truro advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Truro
30%
Draws
37%
Brighton U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brighton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brighton U21 come out ahead of Truro on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Truro taking it.
  • Brighton U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Truro, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Truro Clean Sheet 20%
Brighton U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Truro Brighton U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.11 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2025 National League Cup
Truro vs Brighton U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Truro Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanogo S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Johnson-Fisher D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Brighton U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Truro 42 / 100
Brighton U21 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Truro Brighton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Truro scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Brighton U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Truro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Truro VS Brighton U21
2 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Truro

(Home)
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1
Salisbury
12 Sept
Truro
1 : 1
Walton & Hersham
08 Sept
Truro
4 : 1
Leicester U21
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1
Chesham
31 Aug
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 0
Truro
Page 1 of 6

Brighton U21

(Away)
16 Sept
Brighton U21
2 : 1
PSG U21
11 Sept
Brighton U21
3 : 0
Leicester U21
04 Sept
West Ham U21
1 : 1
Brighton U21
31 Aug
Brighton U21
2 : 2
Arsenal U21
21 Aug
Aston Villa U21
2 : 1
Brighton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Brackley 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Rochdale 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
4 Solihull Moors 4 3 0 1 6:3 8
5 Everton U21 4 2 0 2 4:5 5
6 Manchester United U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
7 Burnley U21 4 0 0 4 2:8 1
8 Blackburn U21 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Braintree 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Forest Green 4 2 0 2 8:6 7
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Leicester U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
8 Wolves U21 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Truro 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Woking 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Brighton U21 4 2 0 2 5:6 7
5 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:11 4
6 Sutton 4 1 0 3 8:13 4
7 Fulham U21 4 1 0 3 8:5 3
8 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 7:12 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston United 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Halifax 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Newcastle Utd U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 7
4 Scunthorpe 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Sunderland U21 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
7 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
8 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 4:10 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)