Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Babos A.
42'
42'
Harvey T.
84'
84'
Dean W.
AI Match Summary
Truro in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Truro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Chesham have won more games recently than Truro.
- Model gives Truro a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Truro here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Truro Clean Sheet 18%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Truro | Chesham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 National League South
Truro vs Chesham
3:1
Mar 1, 2025 National League South
Chesham vs Truro
1:4
Nov 23, 2024 National League South
Truro vs Chesham
2:1
Feb 28, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Truro vs Chesham
3:1
Nov 26, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Chesham vs Truro
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Truro Compare
Top Goalscorer Harvey T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dean W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Chesham Compare
Top Goalscorer Babos A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Truro 58 / 100
Chesham 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Truro Chesham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Truro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Truro scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.
Chesham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Solid form: Truro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Truro VS Chesham
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Truro
(Home) 15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1 Salisbury
12 Sept
Truro
1 : 1 Walton & Hersham
08 Sept
Truro
4 : 1 Leicester U21
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
31 Aug
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 0 Truro
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1 Salisbury
12 Sept
Truro
1 : 1 Walton & Hersham
08 Sept
Truro
4 : 1 Leicester U21
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
29 Aug
Truro
3 : 0 Dagenham & Red.
Page 1 of 4
Chesham
(Away) 12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4 Chesham
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2 Billericay
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2 Dover Ath.
29 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 4 Chesham
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4 Chesham
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
29 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 4 Chesham
19 Aug
Farnborough
1 : 0 Chesham
15 Aug
Braintree
3 : 2 Chesham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Dagenham & Red. | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Billericay | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Tonbridge | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Truro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Dover Ath. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 11 | Farnham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Folkestone | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 12 |
| 13 | Chesham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Chelmsford | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 18 | Braintree | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:24 | 1 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
