Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Babos A.
42'
42'
Harvey T.
84'
84'
Dean W.
AI Match Summary
Truro in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Truro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
69%
20%
11%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Truro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Truro have won more games recently than Chesham.
- Model gives Truro a 69% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Truro here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Truro Clean Sheet 20%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Truro | Chesham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.71 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.81 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 National League South
Truro vs Chesham
3:1
Mar 1, 2025 National League South
Chesham vs Truro
1:4
Nov 23, 2024 National League South
Truro vs Chesham
2:1
Feb 28, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Truro vs Chesham
3:1
Nov 26, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Chesham vs Truro
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Truro Compare
Top Goalscorer Harvey T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dean W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41
Chesham Compare
Top Goalscorer Babos A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Truro 85 / 100
Chesham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Truro Chesham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Truro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chesham let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Truro's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Solid form: Truro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Truro VS Chesham
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Truro
(Home) 03 Nov
Truro
1 : 0 West Brom U21
31 Oct
Truro
3 : 0 Ebbsfleet
27 Oct
Truro
3 : 1 Slough Town
24 Oct
Hampton & Richmond
3 : 4 Truro
17 Oct
Sutton
1 : 0 Truro
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Truro
1 : 0 West Brom U21
31 Oct
Truro
3 : 0 Ebbsfleet
27 Oct
Truro
3 : 1 Slough Town
13 Oct
Truro
3 : 0 Birmingham U21
03 Oct
Truro
4 : 0 Cirencester
Page 1 of 4
Chesham
(Away) 31 Oct
Chesham
2 : 2 Folkestone
27 Oct
Chesham
2 : 4 Farnham
24 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
2 : 0 Chesham
20 Oct
Forest Green
5 : 0 Chesham
17 Oct
Chesham
0 : 0 Forest Green
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
2 : 0 Chesham
20 Oct
Forest Green
5 : 0 Chesham
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4 Chesham
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
29 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 4 Chesham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 35:10 | 31 |
| 2 | Truro | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Maidstone | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:18 | 29 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:10 | 28 |
| 5 | Dorking Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 34:23 | 27 |
| 6 | Farnham | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 29:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Billericay | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 32:16 | 25 |
| 8 | Tonbridge | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 27:16 | 24 |
| 9 | Dagenham & Red. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:11 | 24 |
| 10 | Horsham FC | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 21:16 | 22 |
| 11 | Dover Ath. | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 22 |
| 12 | Chelmsford | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 13 | Torquay | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22:17 | 20 |
| 14 | Folkestone | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 15 | Weston-super-Mare | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 18 |
| 16 | Farnborough | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12:31 | 17 |
| 17 | Braintree | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21:34 | 16 |
| 18 | AFC Totton | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 16 |
| 19 | Maidenhead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:19 | 15 |
| 20 | Hemel Hempstead | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:22 | 15 |
| 21 | Chesham | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 20:32 | 11 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18:36 | 9 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10:33 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15:39 | 4 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
